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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Hannover 96 1–1 FC St. Pauli

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena , Hannover

Hannover 96 crestHannover 96Team 1833
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
FC St. Pauli crestFC St. PauliTeam 1822

Match story

Hannover 96 · draw · FC St. Pauli

Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%

Live chances: Hannover 96 3%, draw 95%, FC St. Pauli 2% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 27%2' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 27%3' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 27%4' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 27%5' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 27%6' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 29%, FC St. Pauli 27%7' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 29%, FC St. Pauli 27%8' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 29%, FC St. Pauli 27%9' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 44%, draw 29%, FC St. Pauli 27%10' · 1–0 · Hannover 96 69%, draw 20%, FC St. Pauli 11%11' · 1–0 · Hannover 96 70%, draw 20%, FC St. Pauli 11%12' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 43%, draw 29%, FC St. Pauli 27%13' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 43%, draw 29%, FC St. Pauli 27%14' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 43%, draw 30%, FC St. Pauli 27%15' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 43%, draw 30%, FC St. Pauli 27%16' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 43%, draw 30%, FC St. Pauli 27%18' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 42%, draw 30%, FC St. Pauli 27%19' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 42%, draw 30%, FC St. Pauli 27%20' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 42%, draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 27%21' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 42%, draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 27%22' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 42%, draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 27%23' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 42%, draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 27%24' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 42%, draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 27%25' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 41%, draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 27%26' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 41%, draw 32%, FC St. Pauli 27%27' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 41%, draw 32%, FC St. Pauli 27%28' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 41%, draw 32%, FC St. Pauli 27%29' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 41%, draw 32%, FC St. Pauli 27%30' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 41%, draw 32%, FC St. Pauli 27%31' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 41%, draw 33%, FC St. Pauli 27%32' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 40%, draw 33%, FC St. Pauli 27%33' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 40%, draw 33%, FC St. Pauli 27%34' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 40%, draw 33%, FC St. Pauli 27%35' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 40%, draw 34%, FC St. Pauli 27%36' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 40%, draw 34%, FC St. Pauli 27%37' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 39%, draw 34%, FC St. Pauli 27%38' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 39%, draw 34%, FC St. Pauli 27%39' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 39%, draw 35%, FC St. Pauli 26%40' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 39%, draw 35%, FC St. Pauli 26%41' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 39%, draw 35%, FC St. Pauli 26%42' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 38%, draw 35%, FC St. Pauli 26%43' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 38%, draw 36%, FC St. Pauli 26%44' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 38%, draw 36%, FC St. Pauli 26%45' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 38%, draw 36%, FC St. Pauli 26%45+1' · 0–0 · Hannover 96 37%, draw 37%, FC St. Pauli 26%45+2' · 0–1 · Hannover 96 17%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 55%HT · 0–1 · Hannover 96 17%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 56%47' · 0–1 · Hannover 96 16%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 56%48' · 0–1 · Hannover 96 16%, draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 56%49' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 36%, draw 39%, FC St. Pauli 25%50' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 36%, draw 39%, FC St. Pauli 25%51' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 35%, draw 40%, FC St. Pauli 25%52' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 35%, draw 40%, FC St. Pauli 25%53' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 35%, draw 41%, FC St. Pauli 25%54' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 34%, draw 41%, FC St. Pauli 24%55' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 34%, draw 42%, FC St. Pauli 24%56' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 33%, draw 42%, FC St. Pauli 24%57' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 33%, draw 43%, FC St. Pauli 24%58' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 33%, draw 44%, FC St. Pauli 24%59' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 32%, draw 44%, FC St. Pauli 23%60' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 32%, draw 45%, FC St. Pauli 23%61' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 31%, draw 46%, FC St. Pauli 23%62' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 31%, draw 46%, FC St. Pauli 23%63' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 31%, draw 47%, FC St. Pauli 22%64' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 30%, draw 48%, FC St. Pauli 22%65' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 30%, draw 48%, FC St. Pauli 22%66' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 29%, draw 49%, FC St. Pauli 22%67' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 29%, draw 50%, FC St. Pauli 21%68' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 28%, draw 51%, FC St. Pauli 21%69' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 28%, draw 52%, FC St. Pauli 21%70' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 27%, draw 53%, FC St. Pauli 20%71' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 27%, draw 54%, FC St. Pauli 20%72' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 26%, draw 54%, FC St. Pauli 20%73' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 25%, draw 55%, FC St. Pauli 19%74' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 25%, draw 56%, FC St. Pauli 19%75' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 24%, draw 58%, FC St. Pauli 18%76' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 23%, draw 59%, FC St. Pauli 18%77' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 23%, draw 60%, FC St. Pauli 17%78' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 22%, draw 61%, FC St. Pauli 17%79' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 21%, draw 62%, FC St. Pauli 16%80' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 20%, draw 64%, FC St. Pauli 16%81' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 20%, draw 65%, FC St. Pauli 15%82' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 19%, draw 67%, FC St. Pauli 15%83' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 18%, draw 68%, FC St. Pauli 14%84' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 17%, draw 70%, FC St. Pauli 13%85' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 16%, draw 71%, FC St. Pauli 13%86' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 15%, draw 73%, FC St. Pauli 12%88' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 13%, draw 77%, FC St. Pauli 10%89' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 12%, draw 79%, FC St. Pauli 9%90' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 10%, draw 81%, FC St. Pauli 8%90+2' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 8%, draw 86%, FC St. Pauli 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 6%, draw 89%, FC St. Pauli 5%90+4' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 4%, draw 92%, FC St. Pauli 4%90+5' · 1–1 · Hannover 96 3%, draw 95%, FC St. Pauli 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 95% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Hannover 96 45% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 8'Hannover 96:Husseyn Chakroun 1746 0
  2. 17'Hannover 96:Stefán Teitur Thórdarson 1910 −2
  3. 45+1'FC St. Pauli:Abdoulie Ceesay 1541 +13 assist Louis Oppie 1885 +6
  4. 48'Hannover 96:Husseyn Chakroun 1746 0
  5. 62'FC St. Pauli:Martijn Kaars 1866 0 for Youssoupha Niang 1663 +3
  6. 62'FC St. Pauli:Samuel Klein 1487 +5 for Mathias Rasmussen 1996 −1
  7. 68'Hannover 96:Benedikt Pichler 1753 −1 for Kolja Oudenne 1811 0
  8. 75'Hannover 96:Hayate Matsuda 1765 −8* for Husseyn Chakroun 1746 0
  9. 78'Hannover 96:Bastian Allgeier 1814 0 for Marcel Hartel 1947 −4
  10. 85'FC St. Pauli:Ricky-Jade Jones 1716 0 for Abdoulie Ceesay 1541 +13
  11. 86'FC St. Pauli:Branimir Hrgota 1690 −5 for Connor Metcalfe 2000 +1
  12. 90+2'FC St. Pauli:Joel Chima Fujita 1957 +2
  13. 90+4'FC St. Pauli:Taichi Hara 1787 −8* for Ricky-Jade Jones 1716 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations3-4-2-1
DB. Tomiak1880−3
GL. Weinkauf16680
MS. Þórðarson1910−2
MW. Taïbi17730
MK. Oudenne18110
MM. Neubauer1841−3
FB. Källman1852−2
DJ. Hugonet1745−1
FM. Hartel1947−4
DV. Ghiță1893−2
FH. Chakroun17460
CS. Wagner1940−3
GB. Voll1602+12
DD. Nemeth1939+5
DE. Smith1989+2
DL. Ritzka1758+8
MA. Pyrka1910+2
MM. Rasmussen1996−1
MJ. Fujita1957+2
ML. Oppie1885+6
MY. Niang1663+3
MC. Metcalfe2000+1
FAbdoulie Ceesay1541+13
CM. Rapp1886+4
Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%(Hannover 96 · draw · FC St. Pauli)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Hannover 96 €1.5M, FC St. Pauli €2.8M.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (2. Bundesliga): Hannover 96 ranked #4 of 18, FC St. Pauli #17.
  • All 11 of Hannover 96's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Hannover 96

13th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 7

  • 10 OctL1. FC Magdeburg 1848
  • 20 SepWVfL Bochum 1831
  • 11 SepL1. FC Nürnberg 1830
  • 4 SepDKarlsruher SC 1847
  • 30 AugWSV Darmstadt 98 1798

FC St. Pauli

7th in 2. Bundesliga · 10 pts from 7

  • 11 OctWKarlsruher SC 1823
  • 20 SepDEnergie Cottbus 1822
  • 12 SepWVfL Wolfsburg 1790
  • 4 SepDArminia Bielefeld 1821
  • 30 AugL1. FC Kaiserslautern 1825

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Hannover 967 /748.41%18%4%6th
FC St. Pauli10 /749.92%25%2%5th
Hannover 96
FC St. Pauli

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Hartel
M. Hartel

Hannover 96 · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1951

D. Nemeth
D. Nemeth

FC St. Pauli · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1935

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sandro Wagner

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Marcel Rapp

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Hannover 96: balanced profile (how Sandro Wagner plays) · FC St. Pauli: balanced profile (how Marcel Rapp plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.