Super League · Regular Season - 27
Hangzhou Greentown 2–4 SHANGHAI SIPG
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Hangzhou Dragon Stadium, Hangzhou
Hangzhou GreentownTeam 1684SHANGHAI SIPGTeam 1765We gave Hangzhou Greentown 36% to win: SHANGHAI SIPG won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%(Hangzhou Greentown · draw · SHANGHAI SIPG)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–4 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Hangzhou Greentown €419K, SHANGHAI SIPG €688K.
- Home advantage made Hangzhou Greentown the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
- Super League: Yan Junling was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1860).
- SHANGHAI SIPG were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hangzhou Greentown
10th in Super League · 31 pts from 26
- 18 SepWWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1684
- 6 SepLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1769
- 29 AugWYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1733
- 22 AugDSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1720
- 15 AugLChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1731
SHANGHAI SIPG
7th in Super League · 33 pts from 26
- 15 SepWRatchaburi AFC Champions League1742
- 5 SepDBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1825
- 28 AugWSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1747
- 23 AugWQingdao Jonoon Chinese Super League1747
- 19 AugDDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1805
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Greentown | 31 /26 | 36.6 | 0% | 1% | <1% | 9th |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 33 /26 | 39.1 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hangzhou Greentown · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1792
SHANGHAI SIPG · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1843
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hangzhou Greentown: possession-based · low-block (how Ross Aloisi plays) · SHANGHAI SIPG: creative · shot-heavy (how Kevin Vincent Muscat plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.