Super League · Regular Season - 30
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Huizhou Olympic Stadium, Huizhou
Hangzhou Greentown host Henan Jianye on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hangzhou Greentown 45%, draw 28%, Henan Jianye 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hangzhou Greentown €473K, Henan Jianye €322K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hangzhou Greentown goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Hangzhou Greentown 1691 · Henan Jianye 1651
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hangzhou Greentown · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1720
Henan Jianye · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1684
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hangzhou Greentown
11th in Super League · 31 pts from 28
- 17 OctLShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1726
- 9 OctLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1748
- 18 SepWWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1683
- 6 SepLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1769
- 29 AugWYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1733
Henan Jianye
14th in Super League · 28 pts from 28
- 16 OctLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1672
- 9 OctDSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1643
- 12 SepDWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1661
- 6 SepDChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1670
- 29 AugDChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1705
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Greentown | 31 /28 | 33.9 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 10th |
| Henan Jianye | 28 /28 | 30.2 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hangzhou Greentown: possession-based · low-block (how Ross Aloisi plays) · Henan Jianye: balanced profile (how Daniel Ramos plays)