Premier League · First Stage - Top 6 - 13
Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Hamrun Spartans host Sliema Wanderers on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hamrun Spartans 41%, draw 29%, Sliema Wanderers 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hamrun Spartans €267K, Sliema Wanderers €268K.
- G. Marchegiani, Lucas Villela and A. Ćorić (Hamrun Spartans) have not played for over 90 days.
- B. Gambarte, Gustavo Alcino, A. Limbombe, I. Cojocaru, R. Polley, V. Drobarov, W. Alli and Diego Cámara (Sliema Wanderers) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hamrun Spartans goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–011%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- Other scores40%
Team Elo: Hamrun Spartans 1434 · Sliema Wanderers 1433
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hamrun Spartans · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1555
Sliema Wanderers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1580
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hamrun Spartans
4th in Premier League · 17 pts from 11
- 29 AugDFloriana Malta Premier League1475
- 16 JulLNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1438
- 9 JulDNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1434
- 15 MarLMosta Malta Premier League1527
- 8 MarWBirkirkara Malta Premier League1437
Sliema Wanderers
3rd in Premier League · 18 pts from 11
- 14 MarWGzira United Malta Premier League1291
- 7 MarLFloriana Malta Premier League1288
- 28 FebDTarxien Rainbows Malta Premier League1278
- 21 FebWValletta FC Malta Premier League1349
- 17 FebDBirkirkara Malta Premier League1302
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun Spartans | 18 /12 | 23.6 | 2% | 43% | 1% | 4th |
| Sliema Wanderers | 21 /12 | 26.3 | 8% | 75% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –