Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 28
Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · 3Arena, Stockholm
Hammarby FF host IF Elfsborg on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hammarby FF 48%, draw 27%, IF Elfsborg 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hammarby FF €1.6M, IF Elfsborg €777K.
- Allsvenskan: E. Skoglund is the highest-rated defender (1933).
- Style contrast in discipline (Allsvenskan): Hammarby FF rank #1 of 16, IF Elfsborg #16.
- IF Elfsborg's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of Hammarby FF's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hammarby FF goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Hammarby FF 1785 · IF Elfsborg 1707
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hammarby FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1888
IF Elfsborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1772
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hammarby FF
3rd in Allsvenskan · 46 pts from 24
- 18 OctWHalmstad Allsvenskan1837
- 11 OctLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1843
- 20 SepWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1802
- 13 SepWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1782
- 6 SepDOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1846
IF Elfsborg
5th in Allsvenskan · 41 pts from 24
- 18 OctDSirius Allsvenskan1736
- 12 OctWHalmstad Allsvenskan1712
- 20 SepWDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1696
- 13 SepWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1676
- 6 SepLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1691
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby FF | 46 /24 | 55.7 | 3% | 95% | 0% | 3rd |
| IF Elfsborg | 41 /24 | 49.8 | 0% | 37% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hammarby FF: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how H. Rydström plays) · IF Elfsborg: direct (how Bjorn Hamberg plays)