Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV host Borussia Mönchengladbach on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hamburger SV 51%, draw 26%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hamburger SV €8.0M, Borussia Mönchengladbach €5.2M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): Hamburger SV rank #16 of 18, Borussia Mönchengladbach #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hamburger SV goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Hamburger SV 2063 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1921
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hamburger SV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2151
Borussia Mönchengladbach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2013
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hamburger SV
9th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2013
- 10 OctW1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2026
- 19 SepW1. FC Köln Bundesliga2056
- 13 SepLRB Leipzig Bundesliga2015
- 6 SepLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2017
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18th in Bundesliga · 0 pts from 6
- 18 OctL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga1875
- 11 OctL1. FC Köln Bundesliga1909
- 19 SepLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga1916
- 12 SepLSC Freiburg Bundesliga1975
- 5 SepLSV Elversberg Bundesliga1983
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 9 /6 | 46.7 | 0% | 5% | 2% | 7th |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 /6 | 28.3 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hamburger SV: balanced profile (how Merlin Polzin plays) · Borussia Mönchengladbach: balanced profile (how A. Blessin plays)