Eliteserien · Regular Season - 26
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Ham-Kam host Sarpsborg 08 FF on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ham-Kam 26%, draw 28%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ham-Kam €340K, Sarpsborg 08 FF €671K.
- Ham-Kam's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ham-Kam goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Ham-Kam 1471 · Sarpsborg 08 FF 1624
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ham-Kam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1474
Sarpsborg 08 FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1710
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ham-Kam
12th in Eliteserien · 26 pts from 23
- 17 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1414
- 11 OctWStart Eliteserien1447
- 20 SepLTromso Eliteserien1473
- 13 SepLMolde Eliteserien1465
- 5 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1499
Sarpsborg 08 FF
10th in Eliteserien · 28 pts from 23
- 18 OctLRosenborg Eliteserien1666
- 11 OctWAalesund Eliteserien1646
- 18 SepLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1622
- 13 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1623
- 6 SepDValerenga Eliteserien1603
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 26 /23 | 32.7 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 13th |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 28 /23 | 37.5 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ham-Kam: direct (how T. Myhre plays) · Sarpsborg 08 FF: balanced profile (how Even Sel plays)