Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Ham-Kam host Rosenborg on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ham-Kam 16%, draw 22%, Rosenborg 62%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ham-Kam €341K, Rosenborg €1.0M.
- Style contrast in possession (Eliteserien): Ham-Kam rank #19 of 19, Rosenborg #4.
- Ham-Kam's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
- Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ham-Kam goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Ham-Kam 1470 · Rosenborg 1806
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ham-Kam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1474
Rosenborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1857
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ham-Kam
12th in Eliteserien · 26 pts from 23
- 17 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1414
- 11 OctWStart Eliteserien1447
- 20 SepLTromso Eliteserien1473
- 13 SepLMolde Eliteserien1465
- 5 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1499
Rosenborg
5th in Eliteserien · 37 pts from 23
- 18 OctWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1783
- 10 OctDSandefjord Eliteserien1854
- 19 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1806
- 12 SepWTromso Eliteserien1780
- 5 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1765
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 26 /23 | 32.7 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 13th |
| Rosenborg | 37 /23 | 50.6 | 0% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ham-Kam: direct (how Thomas Harald Myhre plays) · Rosenborg: balanced profile (how Freyr Alexandersson plays)