Eliteserien · Regular Season - 27
Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Ham-Kam host Fredrikstad on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ham-Kam 32%, draw 29%, Fredrikstad 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ham-Kam €313K, Fredrikstad €412K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eliteserien): Ham-Kam rank #19 of 19, Fredrikstad #3.
- Ham-Kam's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ham-Kam goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–17%
- 2–27%
- 1–06%
- Other scores52%
Team Elo: Ham-Kam 1473 · Fredrikstad 1540
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ham-Kam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1659
Fredrikstad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1529
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ham-Kam
11th in Eliteserien · 30 pts from 26
- 8 NovWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1396
- 1 NovDKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1401
- 24 OctLRosenborg Eliteserien1442
- 17 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1409
- 11 OctWStart Eliteserien1442
Fredrikstad
12th in Eliteserien · 30 pts from 26
- 8 NovDBrann Eliteserien1507
- 31 OctLRosenborg Eliteserien1534
- 25 OctLMolde Eliteserien1500
- 17 OctLViking Eliteserien1549
- 11 OctDTromso Eliteserien1569
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 30 /26 | 33.9 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13th |
| Fredrikstad | 30 /26 | 35.3 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ham-Kam: direct (how T. Myhre plays) · Fredrikstad: direct (how Casper Rojkjaer plays)