Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 26
Halmstad vs Malmo FF
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Orjans Vall, Halmstad
Halmstad host Malmo FF on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Halmstad 24%, draw 27%, Malmo FF 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Halmstad €347K, Malmo FF €829K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Allsvenskan matchday 26: 241 points.
- Style contrast in attacking (Allsvenskan): Halmstad rank #16 of 16, Malmo FF #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Halmstad goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Halmstad 1471 · Malmo FF 1712
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Halmstad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1479
Malmo FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1762
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Halmstad
16th in Allsvenskan · 14 pts from 24
- 18 OctLHammarby FF Allsvenskan1487
- 12 OctLIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1496
- 20 SepWAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1463
- 12 SepLIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1489
- 5 SepLDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1492
Malmo FF
7th in Allsvenskan · 36 pts from 24
- 18 OctLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1731
- 12 OctWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1714
- 19 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1744
- 13 SepWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1704
- 7 SepDAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1740
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 14 /24 | 19.7 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
| Malmo FF | 36 /24 | 44.8 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Halmstad: direct · low-volume (how Stuart William Baxter plays) · Malmo FF: possession-based (how Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup plays)