Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 24
Halmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Orjans Vall, Halmstad
HalmstadTeam 1436Hammarby FFTeam 1866- Noah Karl Anders Persson 90+1'
We gave Hammarby FF 65% to win: they did.
- Joel Allansson 1432 −6 for Aleksander Nilsson 1463 −8*45'Halmstad:Joel Allansson 1432 −6 for Aleksander Nilsson 1463 −8*
- Rocco Ascone 1479 −155'Halmstad:Rocco Ascone 1479 −1
- Tom Trybull 1477 −658'Halmstad:Tom Trybull 1477 −6
- Malte Persson 1264 0 for Ajdin Zeljkovic 1473 −166'Halmstad:Malte Persson 1264 0 for Ajdin Zeljkovic 1473 −1
- 69'Oscar Steinke Brånby 1125 +7 for Frank Junior Adjei 1776 +6Hammarby FF:Oscar Steinke Brånby 1125 +7 for Frank Junior Adjei 1776 +6
- Marvin Illary 1365 0 for Hussein Carneil 1484 −181'Halmstad:Marvin Illary 1365 0 for Hussein Carneil 1484 −1
- Niilo Mäenpää 1468 −1 for Rocco Ascone 1479 −181'Halmstad:Niilo Mäenpää 1468 −1 for Rocco Ascone 1479 −1
- 81'Nahir Besara 1669 −7 for Paulos Abraham 1895 +5Hammarby FF:Nahir Besara 1669 −7 for Paulos Abraham 1895 +5
- 90+1'Noah Karl Anders Persson 1901 +5*Hammarby FF:Noah Karl Anders Persson 1901 +5*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 14% · 21% · 65%(Halmstad · draw · Hammarby FF)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 0–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Halmstad €406K, Hammarby FF €1.7M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Allsvenskan matchday 24: 298 points.
- Allsvenskan: E. Skoglund was the highest-rated defender (1922).
- Style contrast in possession (Allsvenskan): Halmstad ranked #16 of 16, Hammarby FF #1.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Halmstad
16th in Allsvenskan · 14 pts from 23
- 12 OctLIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1496
- 20 SepWAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1463
- 12 SepLIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1489
- 5 SepLDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1492
- 29 AugWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1473
Hammarby FF
3rd in Allsvenskan · 43 pts from 23
- 11 OctLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1843
- 20 SepWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1802
- 13 SepWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1782
- 6 SepDOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1846
- 30 AugLAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1857
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 14 /23 | 20.6 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
| Hammarby FF | 43 /23 | 54.5 | 1% | 92% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Halmstad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1480
Hammarby FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1891
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Halmstad: direct · low-volume (how Stuart William Baxter plays) · Hammarby FF: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Henrik Per-Erik Rydström plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.