Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Gzira United 2–2 Hamrun Spartans
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC · Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Gzira UnitedTeam 1241Hamrun SpartansTeam 1447We gave Hamrun Spartans 46% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 18'M. Trotta –Hamrun Spartans:M. Trotta –
- 33'R. Camenzuli –Hamrun Spartans:R. Camenzuli –
- Saldanha –45+2'Gzira United:Saldanha –
- 50'L. Villela – for D. Ceter –Hamrun Spartans:L. Villela – for D. Ceter –
- 53'M. Caua de Aguiar Alves – for Emerson –Hamrun Spartans:M. Caua de Aguiar Alves – for Emerson –
- 60'M. Trotta –Hamrun Spartans:M. Trotta –
- A. Borg –71'Gzira United:A. Borg –
- Luisinho – for D. Xuereb –71'Gzira United:Luisinho – for D. Xuereb –
- 76'S. Attard – for A. Coric –Hamrun Spartans:S. Attard – for A. Coric –
- 81'Hamrun Spartans:
- 81'Hamrun Spartans:
- 83'M. Guillaumier – for G. Virano –Hamrun Spartans:M. Guillaumier – for G. Virano –
- J. Pena Serna – for D. Abela –83'Gzira United:J. Pena Serna – for D. Abela –
- 88'M. Caua de Aguiar Alves –Hamrun Spartans:M. Caua de Aguiar Alves –
- A. Pllana –88'Gzira United:A. Pllana –
- D. Farrugia – for B. Borg –90+2'Gzira United:D. Farrugia – for B. Borg –
Before kick-off (provisional): 26% · 28% · 46%(Gzira United · draw · Hamrun Spartans)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gzira United €141K, Hamrun Spartans €268K.
- Premier League: H. Bonello was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1568).
- D. Abela, Unknown (549705), C. N'Sa, Unknown (531356), M. Stojanovic, Unknown (549775), J. Bonilla, Kante, Gabriel Mentz and Andre Carlos (Gzira United) had not played for over 90 days.
- M. García, D. Bulevardi and M. El Fanis (Hamrun Spartans) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gzira United
11th in Premier League · 3 pts from 7
- 14 MarLSliema Wanderers Malta Premier League1280
- 7 MarWHibernians Malta Premier League1289
- 28 FebDZabbar St. Patrick Malta Premier League1254
- 22 FebWMosta Malta Premier League1283
- 17 FebLNaxxar Lions Malta Premier League1199
Hamrun Spartans
5th in Premier League · 11 pts from 7
- 29 AugDFloriana Malta Premier League1477
- 16 JulLNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1444
- 9 JulDNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1439
- 15 MarLMosta Malta Premier League1522
- 8 MarWBirkirkara Malta Premier League1440
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gzira United | 3 /7 | 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 11th |
| Hamrun Spartans | 11 /7 | 17.3 | 2% | 51% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hamrun Spartans · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1544
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –