Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Gzira United vs Balzan FC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:45 UTC
Gzira United host Balzan FC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gzira United 40%, draw 29%, Balzan FC 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gzira United €130K, Balzan FC €115K.
- Home advantage makes Gzira United the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- D. Abela, Unknown (549705), C. N'Sa, Unknown (531356), M. Stojanovic, Unknown (549775), J. Bonilla, Kante and Andre Carlos (Gzira United) have not played for over 90 days.
- S. Arab and N. Pulis (Balzan FC) have not played for over 90 days.
- Balzan FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gzira United goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Gzira United 1242 · Balzan FC 1262
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Gzira United from last season's line-ups (latest 14 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gzira United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 (Poor) · Elo 1247
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gzira United
12th in Premier League · 5 pts from 11
- 14 MarLSliema Wanderers Malta Premier League1280
- 7 MarWHibernians Malta Premier League1289
- 28 FebDZabbar St. Patrick Malta Premier League1254
- 22 FebWMosta Malta Premier League1283
- 17 FebLNaxxar Lions Malta Premier League1198
Balzan FC
10th in Premier League · 11 pts from 11
- 14 AugDMarsaxlokk Malta Premier League1270
- 3 MayDNaxxar Lions Malta Premier League1258
- 27 AprDHibernians Malta Premier League1252
- 19 AprDZabbar St. Patrick Malta Premier League1267
- 13 AprWMelita Malta Premier League1260
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gzira United | 5 /11 | 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 12th |
| Balzan FC | 11 /11 | 12.2 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –