Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 13
Guingamp vs Rodez
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Guingamp host Rodez on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Guingamp 34%, draw 29%, Rodez 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Guingamp €409K, Rodez €699K.
- Style contrast in possession (Ligue 2): Guingamp rank #3 of 19, Rodez #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Guingamp goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Guingamp 1602 · Rodez 1692
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Guingamp · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1753
Rodez · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1731
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Guingamp
9th in Ligue 2 · 14 pts from 11
- 31 OctWSaint Etienne France Ligue 21544
- 23 OctWClermont Foot France Ligue 21484
- 16 OctLPAU France Ligue 21486
- 9 OctLNancy France Ligue 21536
- 19 SepLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21555
Rodez
11th in Ligue 2 · 13 pts from 11
- 30 OctWDunkerque France Ligue 21645
- 24 OctWDijon France Ligue 21601
- 19 OctLMontpellier France Ligue 21604
- 10 OctLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21672
- 18 SepLNancy France Ligue 21634
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 14 /11 | 43.1 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 10th |
| Rodez | 13 /11 | 47.0 | <1% | 8% | 2% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Guingamp: balanced profile (how Sylvain Ripoll plays) · Rodez: direct (how Didier Santini plays)