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Liga Pro · Placement Group - 2

Guayaquil City FC 3–2 Emelec

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Christian Benitez, Guayaquil

Guayaquil City FC crestGuayaquil City FCTeam 1469
3–2
Full time
HT 0–2
Emelec crestEmelecTeam 1565

Match story

Guayaquil City FC · draw · Emelec

Before kick-off: 33% · 31% · 36%

Live chances: Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0% at 90+19'1' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 33%, draw 31%, Emelec 36%2' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 33%, draw 31%, Emelec 36%3' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 33%, draw 31%, Emelec 36%4' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 33%, draw 31%, Emelec 36%6' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 33%, draw 32%, Emelec 36%7' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 33%, draw 32%, Emelec 36%8' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 33%, draw 32%, Emelec 36%9' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 32%, Emelec 35%10' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 32%, Emelec 35%11' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 32%, Emelec 35%12' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 33%, Emelec 35%13' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 33%, Emelec 35%14' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 33%, Emelec 35%15' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 33%, Emelec 35%16' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 33%, Emelec 35%17' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 33%, Emelec 35%18' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 34%, Emelec 35%19' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 34%, Emelec 34%20' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 34%, Emelec 34%21' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 34%, Emelec 34%22' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 34%, Emelec 34%23' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 35%, Emelec 34%24' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 35%, Emelec 34%25' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 35%, Emelec 34%26' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 35%, Emelec 34%27' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 36%, Emelec 34%28' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 36%, Emelec 33%29' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 36%, Emelec 33%30' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 36%, Emelec 33%31' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 31%, draw 37%, Emelec 33%32' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 37%, Emelec 33%33' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 37%, Emelec 33%34' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 37%, Emelec 33%35' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 38%, Emelec 32%36' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 38%, Emelec 32%37' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 38%, Emelec 32%38' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 30%, draw 39%, Emelec 32%39' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 29%, draw 39%, Emelec 32%40' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 29%, draw 39%, Emelec 31%41' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 29%, draw 40%, Emelec 31%42' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 29%, draw 40%, Emelec 31%43' · 0–0 · Guayaquil City FC 29%, draw 40%, Emelec 31%44' · 0–1 · Guayaquil City FC 10%, draw 24%, Emelec 66%45' · 0–1 · Guayaquil City FC 10%, draw 24%, Emelec 66%45+1' · 0–1 · Guayaquil City FC 10%, draw 24%, Emelec 66%45+2' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 92%HT · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 92%46' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 92%47' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 93%48' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 93%49' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 93%50' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 93%51' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 6%, Emelec 93%52' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 5%, Emelec 93%53' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 5%, Emelec 94%54' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 5%, Emelec 94%55' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 5%, Emelec 94%56' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 5%, Emelec 94%57' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 5%, Emelec 95%58' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 5%, Emelec 95%59' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 4%, Emelec 95%60' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 4%, Emelec 95%61' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 4%, Emelec 95%62' · 0–2 · Guayaquil City FC 1%, draw 4%, Emelec 96%63' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 5%, draw 22%, Emelec 73%64' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 5%, draw 21%, Emelec 73%65' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 5%, draw 21%, Emelec 74%66' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 5%, draw 21%, Emelec 74%67' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 5%, draw 21%, Emelec 75%68' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 4%, draw 20%, Emelec 75%69' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 4%, draw 20%, Emelec 76%70' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 4%, draw 20%, Emelec 76%71' · 1–2 · Guayaquil City FC 4%, draw 19%, Emelec 77%72' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 19%, draw 60%, Emelec 20%73' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 19%, draw 61%, Emelec 20%74' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 18%, draw 62%, Emelec 19%75' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 18%, draw 63%, Emelec 19%76' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 17%, draw 64%, Emelec 18%77' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 17%, draw 66%, Emelec 18%78' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 16%, draw 67%, Emelec 17%79' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 16%, draw 68%, Emelec 16%80' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 15%, draw 69%, Emelec 16%81' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 14%, draw 70%, Emelec 15%82' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 14%, draw 72%, Emelec 14%83' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 13%, draw 73%, Emelec 14%84' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 12%, draw 75%, Emelec 13%85' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 12%, draw 76%, Emelec 12%86' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 11%, draw 78%, Emelec 11%87' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 10%, draw 79%, Emelec 11%88' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 9%, draw 81%, Emelec 10%89' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 8%, draw 83%, Emelec 9%90' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 7%, draw 85%, Emelec 8%90+1' · 2–2 · Guayaquil City FC 6%, draw 87%, Emelec 7%90+2' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 94%, draw 6%, Emelec 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 95%, draw 4%, Emelec 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 97%, draw 3%, Emelec 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 99%, draw 1%, Emelec 0%90+6' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+7' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+8' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+9' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+10' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+11' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+12' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+13' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+18' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%90+19' · 3–2 · Guayaquil City FC 100%, draw 0%, Emelec 0%

Last reading, 90+19': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Emelec 36% to win: Guayaquil City FC won.

  1. 43'Emelec:Ronie Carrillo 1609 −15* assist Reixon David Saya Paredes 1412 −8*
  2. 45'Guayaquil City FC:Pablo Mancilla 1347 +8* for S Laurino 1549 +3*
  3. 45+1'Emelec:Ronie Carrillo 1609 −15* assist Orlando Herrera 1337 −8*
  4. 50'Guayaquil City FC:Dixon Arroyo 1588 +3*
  5. 53'Emelec:Angelo Mina 1679 −17*
  6. 57'Emelec:Ronie Carrillo 1609 −15*
  7. 62'Guayaquil City FC:Diego Dorregaray 1493 +78* assist P. González 1646 +29*
  8. 71'Guayaquil City FC:Diego Dorregaray 1493 +78* (pen.)
  9. 72'Emelec:Luca Klimowicz 1665 −9* for Ronie Carrillo 1609 −15*
  10. 72'Emelec:Gonzalo Nápoli 1669 −9* for Teodoro Arce 1452 −8*
  11. 72'Guayaquil City FC:P. González 1646 +29*
  12. 76'Emelec:Ariel Mina 1555 −8* for Ignacio Guerrico 1728 −20*
  13. 76'Emelec:Víctor Griffith 1696 −9* for Jefferson Valverde 1550 −8*
  14. 83'Guayaquil City FC:Kevin Sambonino 1370 −5* for Dixon Arroyo 1588 +3*
  15. 90'Emelec:Jaime Ayoví 1008 −20*
  16. 90+1'Guayaquil City FC:Diego Dorregaray 1493 +78* (pen.)
  17. 90+3'Emelec:luis Fragozo 1539 −8* for Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez 1598 −13*
  18. 90+4'Guayaquil City FC:Anderson Naula 1401 −8* for Kevin Sambonino 1370 −5*
  19. 90+8'Guayaquil City FC:Esnaider Cabezas 1141 −7* for Junior Ayovi 1301 +50*
  20. 90+8'Guayaquil City FC:Joshue·Quinonez 1578 −7* for Erick Patricio Ladines Calvache 1225 +61*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Pinos1492+16*
DR. Caicedo1630−2*
DY. Rodríguez1600+6*
DE. Ladines1225+61*
DR. Arias1577+12*
MD. Arroyo1588+3*
MS. Laurino1549+3*
MP. González1646+29*
MJ. Ayovi1301+50*
MD. Dorregaray1493+78*
FE. Mero1581+11*
CP. Gavilánez1613+25*
GP. Ortíz1658−19*
DO. Herrera1337−8*
DF. León1622−16*
DE. Segura1710−20*
DI. Guerrico1728−20*
MReixon Saya1412−8*
MJ. Valverde1550−8*
MJ. Ruíz1598−13*
MA. Mina1679−17*
MS. Arce1452−8*
FR. Carrillo1609−15*
CEzequiel Medrán1550−8*
Before kick-off: 33% · 31% · 36%(Guayaquil City FC · draw · Emelec)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (15%); the result 3–2 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Guayaquil City FC €222K, Emelec €336K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Guayaquil City FC

9th in Liga Pro · 39 pts from 30

  • 19 SepDLeones del Norte 1539
  • 12 SepWMushuc Runa SC 1485
  • 8 SepLOrense SC 1497
  • 2 SepLDeportivo Cuenca 1529
  • 29 AugWLDU de Quito 1497

Emelec

10th in Liga Pro · 39 pts from 30

  • 20 SepLLibertad 1586
  • 13 SepLMacara 1636
  • 8 SepWManta FC 1599
  • 4 SepDLibertad 1620
  • 30 AugWLeones del Norte 1619

Season outlook

From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Guayaquil City FC40 /3146.00%0%15%12th
Emelec39 /3146.80%0%13%10th
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Pro

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Arroyo
D. Arroyo

Guayaquil City FC · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1585

I. Guerrico
I. Guerrico

Emelec · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1747

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Pool Geovanny Gavilánez Solís

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Ezequiel Luis Medrán

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Guayaquil City FC: balanced profile (how Pool Geovanny Gavilánez Solís plays) · Emelec: balanced profile (how Ezequiel Luis Medrán plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.