Primera División · Apertura - 21
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4–1 Guabirá
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Gualberto Villarroel SJTeam 1258
GuabiráTeam 1375Match story
Gualberto Villarroel SJ · draw · GuabiráBefore kick-off: 33% · 27% · 40%
Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Alex Caceres 10', 42', 53'
- Matheus Moresche 45+3'
We gave Guabirá 40% to win: Gualberto Villarroel SJ won.
- 7'Gustavo Peredo 1498 −45* assist Rafinha 1458 −20*
Guabirá:Gustavo Peredo 1498 −45* assist Rafinha 1458 −20* - Alex Caceres 1424 +132*10'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Alex Caceres 1424 +132* - Alex Caceres 1424 +132* assist Juan Ignacio Goyeneche 1572 +84*42'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Alex Caceres 1424 +132* assist Juan Ignacio Goyeneche 1572 +84* - 45'Juan Carlos Parada 1138 −10* for rafael corrales 1207 −8*
Guabirá:Juan Carlos Parada 1138 −10* for rafael corrales 1207 −8* - 45'Yuto Edward Baigorria Nishizawa 1223 −8* for Thiago Chavez 1232 −8*
Guabirá:Yuto Edward Baigorria Nishizawa 1223 −8* for Thiago Chavez 1232 −8* - Alex Caceres 1424 +132*45+1'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Alex Caceres 1424 +132* - Matheus Moresche 1554 +84* assist Alex Caceres 1424 +132*45+3'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Matheus Moresche 1554 +84* assist Alex Caceres 1424 +132* - Alex Caceres 1424 +132* assist Matheus Moresche 1554 +84*53'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Alex Caceres 1424 +132* assist Matheus Moresche 1554 +84* - 63'P. Luján 1139 −8* for N. Masskooni 1481 −14*
Guabirá:P. Luján 1139 −8* for N. Masskooni 1481 −14* - Elmer José Quispe Frías 1212 +57*65'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Elmer José Quispe Frías 1212 +57* - Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar 1196 +8* for Ronaldo Monteiro 1184 +47*66'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar 1196 +8* for Ronaldo Monteiro 1184 +47* - 68'Denilso Fernandez Tokudome 1332 −8* for Rafinha 1458 −20*
Guabirá:Denilso Fernandez Tokudome 1332 −8* for Rafinha 1458 −20* - 73'Juan Carlos Parada 1138 −10*
Guabirá:Juan Carlos Parada 1138 −10* - Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar 1196 +8*76'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar 1196 +8* - 79'Makerlo Tellez 1308 −8* for Gustavo Peredo 1498 −45*
Guabirá:Makerlo Tellez 1308 −8* for Gustavo Peredo 1498 −45* - sebastian valdez 1217 0* for Elmer José Quispe Frías 1212 +57*80'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:sebastian valdez 1217 0* for Elmer José Quispe Frías 1212 +57* - Rodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero 1203 −1* for G. Vaca 1410 +35*81'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Rodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero 1203 −1* for G. Vaca 1410 +35* - Roler Ferrufino 1360 −6* for Matheus Moresche 1554 +84*86'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Roler Ferrufino 1360 −6* for Matheus Moresche 1554 +84* - Luis Zeballos 1206 −5* for Alex Caceres 1424 +132*86'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Luis Zeballos 1206 −5* for Alex Caceres 1424 +132* - Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar 1196 +8*88'
Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar 1196 +8* - 89'Makerlo Tellez 1308 −8*
Guabirá:Makerlo Tellez 1308 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 33% · 27% · 40%(Gualberto Villarroel SJ · draw · Guabirá)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–1 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Gualberto Villarroel SJ €131K, Guabirá €184K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
16th in Primera División · 14 pts from 20
- 18 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1294
- 12 SepLNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1322
- 5 SepLAurora Bolivia Primera Division1354
- 25 AugDOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1290
- 17 AugLIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1278
Guabirá
7th in Primera División · 29 pts from 20
- 16 SepWAurora Bolivia Primera Division1379
- 13 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1391
- 5 SepDReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1411
- 27 AugLIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1392
- 23 AugDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1466
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 14 /20 | 16.5 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 16th |
| Guabirá | 29 /20 | 32.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1088

Guabirá · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1478
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gualberto Villarroel SJ: balanced profile (how Julio César Baldivieso Rico plays) · Guabirá: direct (how Leonardo Eguez plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.