Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:07 UTC · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
Guadalajara ChivasTeam 1981
Tigres UANLTeam 1935Match story
Guadalajara Chivas · draw · Tigres UANLBefore kick-off: 48% · 28% · 24%
Last reading, 90+9': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jordan Carrillo 77'
- Juan Brunetta 36'
We gave Guadalajara Chivas 48% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 36'Juan Brunetta 2054 +3 assist Diego Lainez 2072 +4
Tigres UANL:Juan Brunetta 2054 +3 assist Diego Lainez 2072 +4 - Bryan Gonzalez 2089 −8* for Leonel Calderón Oviedo 1746 045'
Guadalajara Chivas:Bryan Gonzalez 2089 −8* for Leonel Calderón Oviedo 1746 0 - Ricardo Marín 1956 −1 for Ángel Sepúlveda 1891 −845'
Guadalajara Chivas:Ricardo Marín 1956 −1 for Ángel Sepúlveda 1891 −8 - 45+2'Juan Brunetta 2054 +3
Tigres UANL:Juan Brunetta 2054 +3 - Santiago Sandoval 1801 051'
Guadalajara Chivas:Santiago Sandoval 1801 0 - 62'Emiliano Gómez 1837 +2 for Rodrigo Aguirre 1928 +1
Tigres UANL:Emiliano Gómez 1837 +2 for Rodrigo Aguirre 1928 +1 - 62'Ricardo Monreal 1856 −5* for Diego Sánchez 1919 +4
Tigres UANL:Ricardo Monreal 1856 −5* for Diego Sánchez 1919 +4 - 62'Jesús Garza 2043 +1 for Diego Lainez 2072 +4
Tigres UANL:Jesús Garza 2043 +1 for Diego Lainez 2072 +4 - Richard Ledezma 2083 0 for Luis Rey 1827 062'
Guadalajara Chivas:Richard Ledezma 2083 0 for Luis Rey 1827 0 - Fernando González 2040 −567'
Guadalajara Chivas:Fernando González 2040 −5 - Jordan Carrillo 1967 −8* for Fernando González 2040 −572'
Guadalajara Chivas:Jordan Carrillo 1967 −8* for Fernando González 2040 −5 - 75'Vladimir Loroña 1849 +1 for Joaquim Pereira 2017 +3
Tigres UANL:Vladimir Loroña 1849 +1 for Joaquim Pereira 2017 +3 - Jordan Carrillo 1967 −8* assist Bryan Gonzalez 2089 −8*77'
Guadalajara Chivas:Jordan Carrillo 1967 −8* assist Bryan Gonzalez 2089 −8* - Jesús Hernández 1272 −8* for Santiago Sandoval 1801 086'
Guadalajara Chivas:Jesús Hernández 1272 −8* for Santiago Sandoval 1801 0 - 87'Jonathan Herrera 2024 0 for Fernando Gorriarán 2064 0
Tigres UANL:Jonathan Herrera 2024 0 for Fernando Gorriarán 2064 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 24%(Guadalajara Chivas · draw · Tigres UANL)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Guadalajara Chivas €3.8M, Tigres UANL €3.4M.
- Liga MX: J. Rangel was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2237).
- All 11 of Tigres UANL's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Guadalajara Chivas
5th in Liga MX · 19 pts from 11
- 11 OctDAtlas Liga MX2023
- 26 SepLClub Queretaro Liga MX1997
- 20 SepDClub America Liga MX2078
- 14 SepWU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX2007
- 5 SepWAtletico San Luis Liga MX1985
Tigres UANL
13th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 11
- 10 OctWToluca Liga MX1915
- 27 SepWPuebla Liga MX1834
- 19 SepLFC Juarez Liga MX1936
- 13 SepDMonterrey Liga MX1950
- 6 SepDNecaxa Liga MX1929
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara Chivas | 19 /11 | 29.3 | 12% | 62% | 0% | 2nd |
| Tigres UANL | 13 /11 | 20.3 | 0% | 1% | 10% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Guadalajara Chivas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2211

Tigres UANL · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2051
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Guadalajara Chivas: balanced profile (how Gabriel Alejandro Milito plays) · Tigres UANL: balanced profile (how Víctor Manuel Vucetich Rojas plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.