Primera División · Apertura - 24
Guabirá vs Bolívar
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:15 UTC · Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
Guabirá host Bolívar on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Guabirá 19%, draw 25%, Bolívar 57%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Guabirá €186K, Bolívar €535K.
- Primera División: X. Arreaga is the highest-rated defender (1812).
- Style contrast in possession (Primera División): Guabirá rank #14 of 16, Bolívar #1.
- Guabirá's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
- Bolívar's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Guabirá goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Guabirá 1410 · Bolívar 1742
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Guabirá · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1450
Bolívar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1795
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Guabirá
7th in Primera División · 30 pts from 22
- 18 OctDOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1407
- 12 OctLGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1404
- 16 SepWAurora Bolivia Primera Division1379
- 13 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1391
- 5 SepDReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1411
Bolívar
1st in Primera División · 51 pts from 22
- 18 OctWNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1732
- 11 OctWBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1720
- 18 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1722
- 14 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1716
- 6 SepWIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1704
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guabirá | 30 /22 | 38.3 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 7th |
| Bolívar | 51 /22 | 62.9 | 74% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Guabirá: direct (how Leonardo Eguez plays) · Bolívar: possession-based · creative (how Alejandro Restrepo Mazo plays)