Eredivisie · Regular Season - 14
Groningen vs Willem II
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Euroborg, Groningen
Groningen host Willem II on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Groningen 53%, draw 26%, Willem II 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Groningen €1.8M, Willem II €786K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Groningen goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 2–27%
- 2–07%
- 1–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores53%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Groningen 1844 · Willem II 1694
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Groningen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1850
Willem II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1679
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Groningen
9th in Eredivisie · 15 pts from 12
- 8 NovLAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1904
- 1 NovLSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1918
- 29 OctLEmmen Netherlands KNVB Beker1916
- 25 OctDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1922
- 18 OctLAjax Eredivisie1913
Willem II
18th in Eredivisie · 3 pts from 12
- 6 NovDPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1700
- 31 OctLPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1689
- 27 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands KNVB Beker1663
- 24 OctLCambuur Eredivisie1709
- 17 OctLSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1714
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 15 /12 | 44.2 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| Willem II | 3 /12 | 24.3 | 0% | 0% | 91% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Groningen: balanced profile (how Dick Lukkien plays) · Willem II: balanced profile (how Jurgen Streppel plays)