Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 15:45 UTC · Euroborg, Groningen
Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Groningen 52%, draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Groningen €2.0M, Sparta Rotterdam €1.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Groningen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Groningen 1871 · Sparta Rotterdam 1738
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Groningen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1980
Sparta Rotterdam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1555
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Groningen
7th in Eredivisie · 14 pts from 9
- 18 OctLAjax Eredivisie1920
- 11 OctWExcelsior Eredivisie1882
- 18 SepWPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1863
- 12 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1855
- 6 SepDTwente Eredivisie1860
Sparta Rotterdam
13th in Eredivisie · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctWWillem II Eredivisie1678
- 10 OctDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1681
- 19 SepLHeerenveen Eredivisie1735
- 13 SepLPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1758
- 4 SepDPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1777
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 14 /9 | 49.1 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 6th |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 9 /9 | 35.9 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Groningen: balanced profile (how Dick Lukkien plays) · Sparta Rotterdam: balanced profile (how Rogier Meijer plays)