Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13
Groningen vs Heerenveen
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Euroborg, Groningen
Groningen host Heerenveen on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Groningen 37%, draw 29%, Heerenveen 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Groningen €1.8M, Heerenveen €2.3M.
- Home advantage makes Groningen the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Heerenveen have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Groningen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–28%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- 1–06%
- 0–15%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.2 pts
Team Elo: Groningen 1860 · Heerenveen 1907
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Groningen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1850
Heerenveen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2025
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Groningen
9th in Eredivisie · 15 pts from 12
- 8 NovLAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1904
- 1 NovLSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1918
- 29 OctLEmmen Netherlands KNVB Beker1916
- 25 OctDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1922
- 18 OctLAjax Eredivisie1913
Heerenveen
6th in Eredivisie · 21 pts from 12
- 8 NovWFeyenoord Eredivisie1941
- 31 OctWNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1923
- 28 OctWExcelsior Maassluis Netherlands KNVB Beker1907
- 24 OctWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1901
- 16 OctWExcelsior Eredivisie1881
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 15 /12 | 44.9 | 0% | <1% | 1% | 7th |
| Heerenveen | 21 /12 | 53.2 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Groningen: balanced profile (how Dick Lukkien plays) · Heerenveen: balanced profile (how Robin Veldman plays)