League Two · Regular Season - 14
Grimsby vs York
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Grimsby host York on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Grimsby 49%, draw 27%, York 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Grimsby €269K, York €177K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Grimsby goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Grimsby 1646 · York 1542
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Grimsby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1734
York · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1543
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Grimsby
15th in League Two · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctLNorthampton England League Two1653
- 10 OctLPort Vale England League Two1678
- 6 OctDBurton Albion England EFL Trophy1468
- 3 OctLShrewsbury England League Two1612
- 26 SepLNewport County England League Two1724
York
4th in League Two · 16 pts from 10
- 17 OctDNewport County England League Two1538
- 10 OctDNorthampton England League Two1570
- 26 SepWGillingham England League Two1507
- 22 SepDRotherham England EFL Trophy1417
- 19 SepLChesterfield England League Two1532
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 13 /11 | 61.2 | <1% | 8% | 6% | 8th |
| York | 16 /10 | 57.0 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based