League Two · Regular Season - 16
Grimsby vs Rotherham
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Grimsby host Rotherham on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Grimsby 44%, draw 28%, Rotherham 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Grimsby €269K, Rotherham €346K.
- Rotherham's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Grimsby goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- 2–07%
- 0–07%
- 1–27%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Grimsby 1681 · Rotherham 1638
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Grimsby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1846
Rotherham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1605
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Grimsby
6th in League Two · 20 pts from 14
- 10 NovLNottingham Forest U21 England EFL Trophy1388
- 31 OctWYork England League Two1692
- 24 OctWGillingham England League Two1618
- 20 OctDRochdale England League Two1619
- 17 OctLNorthampton England League Two1645
Rotherham
22nd in League Two · 12 pts from 14
- 7 NovWBromley England FA Cup1611
- 3 NovLNewcastle United U21 England EFL Trophy1657
- 31 OctLSwindon Town England League Two1629
- 24 OctDShrewsbury England League Two1638
- 20 OctDNewport County England League Two1637
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 20 /14 | 65.3 | <1% | 18% | 2% | 6th |
| Rotherham | 12 /14 | 55.3 | 0% | 1% | 23% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Grimsby: balanced profile (how D. Artell plays) · Rotherham: direct (how Alex Bruce plays)