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League Two · Regular Season - 11

Grimsby 0–2 Northampton

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Blundell Park, Grimsby

Grimsby crestGrimsbyTeam 1624
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Northampton crestNorthamptonTeam 1532

Match story

Grimsby · draw · Northampton

Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 24%

Live chances: Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100% at 90+12'1' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 27%, Northampton 24%2' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 27%, Northampton 24%3' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%4' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%5' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%6' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%7' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%8' · 0–0 · Grimsby 48%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%9' · 0–0 · Grimsby 47%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%10' · 0–0 · Grimsby 47%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%11' · 0–0 · Grimsby 47%, draw 28%, Northampton 24%12' · 0–0 · Grimsby 47%, draw 29%, Northampton 24%13' · 0–0 · Grimsby 47%, draw 29%, Northampton 24%14' · 0–0 · Grimsby 47%, draw 29%, Northampton 24%15' · 0–0 · Grimsby 46%, draw 29%, Northampton 24%16' · 0–0 · Grimsby 46%, draw 29%, Northampton 24%17' · 0–0 · Grimsby 46%, draw 29%, Northampton 24%18' · 0–0 · Grimsby 46%, draw 30%, Northampton 24%19' · 0–0 · Grimsby 46%, draw 30%, Northampton 24%20' · 0–0 · Grimsby 46%, draw 30%, Northampton 24%21' · 0–0 · Grimsby 46%, draw 30%, Northampton 24%22' · 0–0 · Grimsby 45%, draw 30%, Northampton 24%23' · 0–0 · Grimsby 45%, draw 30%, Northampton 24%24' · 0–0 · Grimsby 45%, draw 31%, Northampton 24%25' · 0–0 · Grimsby 45%, draw 31%, Northampton 24%26' · 0–0 · Grimsby 45%, draw 31%, Northampton 24%27' · 0–0 · Grimsby 44%, draw 31%, Northampton 24%28' · 0–0 · Grimsby 44%, draw 31%, Northampton 24%29' · 0–0 · Grimsby 44%, draw 32%, Northampton 24%30' · 0–0 · Grimsby 44%, draw 32%, Northampton 24%31' · 0–0 · Grimsby 44%, draw 32%, Northampton 24%32' · 0–0 · Grimsby 44%, draw 32%, Northampton 24%33' · 0–0 · Grimsby 43%, draw 32%, Northampton 24%34' · 0–0 · Grimsby 43%, draw 33%, Northampton 24%35' · 0–1 · Grimsby 23%, draw 28%, Northampton 48%37' · 0–1 · Grimsby 22%, draw 28%, Northampton 49%39' · 0–1 · Grimsby 22%, draw 29%, Northampton 50%41' · 0–1 · Grimsby 21%, draw 29%, Northampton 50%43' · 0–1 · Grimsby 20%, draw 29%, Northampton 51%44' · 0–1 · Grimsby 20%, draw 29%, Northampton 51%45+1' · 0–1 · Grimsby 19%, draw 29%, Northampton 52%45+2' · 0–1 · Grimsby 19%, draw 29%, Northampton 52%HT · 0–1 · Grimsby 18%, draw 29%, Northampton 53%46' · 0–1 · Grimsby 18%, draw 29%, Northampton 53%47' · 0–1 · Grimsby 18%, draw 29%, Northampton 53%48' · 0–1 · Grimsby 18%, draw 29%, Northampton 54%49' · 0–1 · Grimsby 17%, draw 29%, Northampton 54%50' · 0–1 · Grimsby 17%, draw 29%, Northampton 54%51' · 0–1 · Grimsby 16%, draw 29%, Northampton 55%52' · 0–1 · Grimsby 16%, draw 29%, Northampton 55%53' · 0–1 · Grimsby 15%, draw 29%, Northampton 56%54' · 0–1 · Grimsby 15%, draw 29%, Northampton 56%55' · 0–1 · Grimsby 15%, draw 29%, Northampton 57%56' · 0–1 · Grimsby 14%, draw 28%, Northampton 58%57' · 0–1 · Grimsby 14%, draw 28%, Northampton 58%58' · 0–1 · Grimsby 13%, draw 28%, Northampton 59%59' · 0–1 · Grimsby 13%, draw 28%, Northampton 59%60' · 0–2 · Grimsby 2%, draw 8%, Northampton 90%61' · 0–2 · Grimsby 2%, draw 8%, Northampton 90%62' · 0–2 · Grimsby 2%, draw 8%, Northampton 91%63' · 0–2 · Grimsby 2%, draw 7%, Northampton 91%64' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 3%, Northampton 96%65' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 3%, Northampton 96%67' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 3%, Northampton 97%68' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 3%, Northampton 97%69' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 3%, Northampton 97%71' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 3%, Northampton 97%72' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 2%, Northampton 97%73' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 2%, Northampton 98%74' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 2%, Northampton 98%75' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 2%, Northampton 98%76' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 2%, Northampton 98%77' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 2%, Northampton 98%78' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 2%, Northampton 98%79' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 98%80' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%81' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%82' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%83' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%84' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%85' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%86' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%87' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 1%, Northampton 99%88' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 99%89' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+1' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+2' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+6' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+7' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+8' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+9' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+10' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+11' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%90+12' · 0–2 · Grimsby 0%, draw 0%, Northampton 100%

Last reading, 90+12': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Grimsby 48% to win: Northampton won.

  1. 28'Grimsby:Douglas Tharme 1687 −4
  2. 34'Northampton:M. Warhurst 1235 +244 assist Lee Evans 1728 +88
  3. 42'Grimsby:Charles Vernam 1712 −11
  4. 49'Grimsby:Joe Foulkes 1357 0 for Douglas Tharme 1687 −4
  5. 54'Northampton:josh powell 1577 +39
  6. 57'Northampton:Elliott List 1576 +6* for Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 1511 +32
  7. 58'Northampton:Jon Guthrie 1649 +110 assist Elliott Moore 1737 +89
  8. 61'Grimsby:Edon Pruti 1431 0
  9. 66'Grimsby:Finn Cartwright 1514 0 for Charles Vernam 1712 −11
  10. 72'Grimsby:Jamie Walker 1545 −5
  11. 74'Northampton:Jon Guthrie 1649 +110
  12. 75'Grimsby:David John Artell
  13. 78'Grimsby:Andy Cook 1571 −8 for Iwan Morgan 1660 −2
  14. 78'Grimsby:Sonny Finch 1515 0 for Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor 1369 −2
  15. 78'Grimsby:Cian Doyle 1164 0 for Jamie Walker 1545 −5
  16. 80'Northampton:Sam Hoskins 1504 0 for M. Warhurst 1235 +244
  17. 80'Northampton:James Maxwell 1754 +8 for josh powell 1577 +39
  18. 90+1'Northampton:Max Dyche 1627 0 for Janoi Donacien 1679 +101

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-4-2
GC. Pym1666−5
DH. Rodgers1736−18
DM. Kacurri1710−12
DE. Pruti14310
DD. Tharme1687−4
MG. Turi1780−24
MJ. Amaluzor1369−2
MK. Green1751−21
MJ. Walker1545−5
MC. Vernam1712−11
FIwan Morgan1660−2
CD. Artell1704−23
GZ. Jeacock1657+37
DJ. Donacien1679+101
DE. Moore1737+89
DJ. Guthrie1649+110
DJoshua Alan Powell1577+39
MJ. Wormleighton1598+42
MC. Lemonheigh-Evans1604+40
ML. Evans1728+88
MJ. O'Brien-Whitmarsh1511+32
FO. Dale1920+13
FMatthew Warhurst1235+244
CC. Hogg1293+156
Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 24%(Grimsby · draw · Northampton)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Grimsby €267K, Northampton €274K.
  • League Two: O. Dale was the highest-rated forward (1907).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Grimsby

11th in League Two · 13 pts from 10

  • 10 OctLPort Vale 1678
  • 6 OctDBurton Albion 1468
  • 3 OctLShrewsbury 1612
  • 26 SepLNewport County 1724
  • 22 SepLNotts County 1492

Northampton

23rd in League Two · 7 pts from 8

  • 10 OctDYork 1523
  • 6 OctLCambridge United 1484
  • 19 SepLRotherham 1600
  • 12 SepLShrewsbury 1506
  • 5 SepWNewport County 1528

Season outlook

From the League Two simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Grimsby13 /1064.81%15%2%8th
Northampton7 /850.10%<1%41%24th
Grimsby
Northampton

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League Two

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Turi
G. Turi

Grimsby · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1804

E. Moore
E. Moore

Northampton · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1648

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

David John Artell

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Chris Hogg

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Grimsby: balanced profile (how David John Artell plays) · Northampton: direct (how Chris Hogg plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.