Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
Grenoble 0–2 Boulogne
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade des Alpes, Grenoble
GrenobleTeam 1601
BoulogneTeam 1428Match story
Grenoble · draw · BoulogneBefore kick-off: 55% · 26% · 19%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Nolan Binet 79'
- Abdel Hbouch 90+2'
We gave Grenoble 55% to win: Boulogne won.
- 9'Sonny Duflos 1506 +66 for Joffrey Bultel 1499 +2
Boulogne:Sonny Duflos 1506 +66 for Joffrey Bultel 1499 +2 - Matthéo Xantippe 1662 −1614'
Grenoble:Matthéo Xantippe 1662 −16 - 41'Nolan Binet 1652 +46
Boulogne:Nolan Binet 1652 +46 - Lucas Bernadou 1633 −1145+2'
Grenoble:Lucas Bernadou 1633 −11 - Kyliann Fofana 1378 0 for Leonardo Cerri 1694 −22*62'
Grenoble:Kyliann Fofana 1378 0 for Leonardo Cerri 1694 −22* - Dillion Hoogerwerf 1628 −11* for Baptiste Mouazan 1542 062'
Grenoble:Dillion Hoogerwerf 1628 −11* for Baptiste Mouazan 1542 0 - 63'Adrien Pinot 1616 +39
Boulogne:Adrien Pinot 1616 +39 - 67'Théo Brusco 1617 +4* for Adrien Pinot 1616 +39
Boulogne:Théo Brusco 1617 +4* for Adrien Pinot 1616 +39 - 67'Mohamed Soumah 1322 +33 for Theo Epailly 1053 +63
Boulogne:Mohamed Soumah 1322 +33 for Theo Epailly 1053 +63 - Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro 1411 0 for Yvann Macon 1667 −1575'
Grenoble:Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro 1411 0 for Yvann Macon 1667 −15 - 79'Nolan Binet 1652 +46 assist Mohamed Soumah 1322 +33
Boulogne:Nolan Binet 1652 +46 assist Mohamed Soumah 1322 +33 - 80'Mathieu Mion 1256 +8* for Julien Boyer 1665 +11
Boulogne:Mathieu Mion 1256 +8* for Julien Boyer 1665 +11 - 80'Benjamin Besic 1272 +8 for Sonny Duflos 1506 +66
Boulogne:Benjamin Besic 1272 +8 for Sonny Duflos 1506 +66 - Moussa Djitté 1597 −1 for Lucas Bernadou 1633 −1182'
Grenoble:Moussa Djitté 1597 −1 for Lucas Bernadou 1633 −11 - Christ-Owen Kouassi 1649 −9* for Nesta Zahui 1554 082'
Grenoble:Christ-Owen Kouassi 1649 −9* for Nesta Zahui 1554 0 - 90+2'Abdel Hbouch 1586 +66 assist Benjamin Besic 1272 +8
Boulogne:Abdel Hbouch 1586 +66 assist Benjamin Besic 1272 +8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 55% · 26% · 19%(Grenoble · draw · Boulogne)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Grenoble €436K, Boulogne €305K.
- Boulogne's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Grenoble
14th in Ligue 2 · 8 pts from 8
- 9 OctLMontpellier France Ligue 21621
- 18 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21593
- 11 SepWRodez France Ligue 21558
- 4 SepLAnnecy France Ligue 21565
- 28 AugWLaval France Ligue 21551
Boulogne
16th in Ligue 2 · 6 pts from 8
- 9 OctDSochaux France Ligue 21496
- 19 SepLNantes France Ligue 21425
- 11 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21400
- 4 SepDDijon France Ligue 21455
- 28 AugDMontpellier France Ligue 21480
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grenoble | 8 /8 | 42.0 | 0% | 2% | 13% | 11th |
| Boulogne | 6 /8 | 31.5 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Grenoble · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1681

Boulogne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.7 (Average) · Elo 1443
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Grenoble: balanced profile (how Olivier Frapolli plays) · Boulogne: balanced profile (how Fabien Dagneaux plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.