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Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Gremio 1–1 Internacional

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Gremio crestGremioTeam 1872
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Internacional crestInternacionalTeam 1848

Match story

Gremio · draw · Internacional

Before kick-off: 48% · 29% · 23%

Live chances: Gremio 1%, draw 99%, Internacional 1% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Gremio 48%, draw 29%, Internacional 23%3' · 0–0 · Gremio 48%, draw 29%, Internacional 23%4' · 0–0 · Gremio 48%, draw 29%, Internacional 23%5' · 0–0 · Gremio 48%, draw 29%, Internacional 23%6' · 0–0 · Gremio 48%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%7' · 0–0 · Gremio 47%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%8' · 0–0 · Gremio 47%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%9' · 0–0 · Gremio 47%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%10' · 0–0 · Gremio 47%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%11' · 0–0 · Gremio 47%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%12' · 0–0 · Gremio 47%, draw 31%, Internacional 23%13' · 0–0 · Gremio 46%, draw 31%, Internacional 23%14' · 0–0 · Gremio 46%, draw 31%, Internacional 23%15' · 0–0 · Gremio 46%, draw 31%, Internacional 23%16' · 0–0 · Gremio 46%, draw 31%, Internacional 23%17' · 0–0 · Gremio 46%, draw 32%, Internacional 23%18' · 0–0 · Gremio 45%, draw 32%, Internacional 23%19' · 0–0 · Gremio 45%, draw 32%, Internacional 23%20' · 0–0 · Gremio 45%, draw 32%, Internacional 23%21' · 0–0 · Gremio 45%, draw 32%, Internacional 23%22' · 0–0 · Gremio 45%, draw 33%, Internacional 23%23' · 0–0 · Gremio 44%, draw 33%, Internacional 23%24' · 0–0 · Gremio 44%, draw 33%, Internacional 23%25' · 0–0 · Gremio 44%, draw 33%, Internacional 23%26' · 0–0 · Gremio 44%, draw 34%, Internacional 23%27' · 0–0 · Gremio 44%, draw 34%, Internacional 23%28' · 0–0 · Gremio 43%, draw 34%, Internacional 23%29' · 0–0 · Gremio 43%, draw 34%, Internacional 23%30' · 0–0 · Gremio 43%, draw 35%, Internacional 23%31' · 0–0 · Gremio 43%, draw 35%, Internacional 22%32' · 0–0 · Gremio 42%, draw 35%, Internacional 22%33' · 0–1 · Gremio 20%, draw 29%, Internacional 51%34' · 0–1 · Gremio 20%, draw 29%, Internacional 51%35' · 0–1 · Gremio 20%, draw 29%, Internacional 52%36' · 0–1 · Gremio 20%, draw 29%, Internacional 52%37' · 0–1 · Gremio 19%, draw 29%, Internacional 52%38' · 0–1 · Gremio 19%, draw 29%, Internacional 52%39' · 0–1 · Gremio 18%, draw 29%, Internacional 53%40' · 0–1 · Gremio 18%, draw 29%, Internacional 53%41' · 0–1 · Gremio 18%, draw 29%, Internacional 54%42' · 0–1 · Gremio 17%, draw 29%, Internacional 54%43' · 0–1 · Gremio 17%, draw 29%, Internacional 54%44' · 0–1 · Gremio 17%, draw 29%, Internacional 55%45' · 0–1 · Gremio 16%, draw 29%, Internacional 55%45+1' · 0–1 · Gremio 16%, draw 29%, Internacional 55%45+2' · 0–1 · Gremio 16%, draw 29%, Internacional 56%45+3' · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 29%, Internacional 56%45+4' · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 28%, Internacional 56%45+5' · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 28%, Internacional 56%45+6' · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 28%, Internacional 56%HT · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 28%, Internacional 56%46' · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 28%, Internacional 56%47' · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 28%, Internacional 57%48' · 0–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 28%, Internacional 57%49' · 0–1 · Gremio 14%, draw 28%, Internacional 58%50' · 0–1 · Gremio 14%, draw 28%, Internacional 58%51' · 0–1 · Gremio 13%, draw 28%, Internacional 58%52' · 0–1 · Gremio 13%, draw 28%, Internacional 59%53' · 0–1 · Gremio 13%, draw 28%, Internacional 59%54' · 0–1 · Gremio 12%, draw 28%, Internacional 60%55' · 0–1 · Gremio 12%, draw 28%, Internacional 61%56' · 0–1 · Gremio 11%, draw 28%, Internacional 61%57' · 0–1 · Gremio 11%, draw 27%, Internacional 62%58' · 0–1 · Gremio 10%, draw 27%, Internacional 62%59' · 0–1 · Gremio 10%, draw 27%, Internacional 63%60' · 0–1 · Gremio 10%, draw 27%, Internacional 64%61' · 0–1 · Gremio 9%, draw 27%, Internacional 64%62' · 0–1 · Gremio 9%, draw 26%, Internacional 65%63' · 0–1 · Gremio 9%, draw 26%, Internacional 65%64' · 0–1 · Gremio 8%, draw 26%, Internacional 66%65' · 0–1 · Gremio 8%, draw 26%, Internacional 67%66' · 0–1 · Gremio 7%, draw 25%, Internacional 67%67' · 0–1 · Gremio 7%, draw 25%, Internacional 68%68' · 0–1 · Gremio 7%, draw 25%, Internacional 69%69' · 0–1 · Gremio 6%, draw 24%, Internacional 69%70' · 0–1 · Gremio 6%, draw 24%, Internacional 70%71' · 0–1 · Gremio 6%, draw 24%, Internacional 71%72' · 0–1 · Gremio 5%, draw 23%, Internacional 71%73' · 1–1 · Gremio 24%, draw 60%, Internacional 16%74' · 1–1 · Gremio 23%, draw 61%, Internacional 15%75' · 2–1 · Gremio 85%, draw 14%, Internacional 2%76' · 1–1 · Gremio 22%, draw 64%, Internacional 14%77' · 1–1 · Gremio 21%, draw 65%, Internacional 14%78' · 1–1 · Gremio 21%, draw 66%, Internacional 14%79' · 1–1 · Gremio 20%, draw 67%, Internacional 13%80' · 1–1 · Gremio 19%, draw 69%, Internacional 13%81' · 1–1 · Gremio 18%, draw 70%, Internacional 12%82' · 1–1 · Gremio 17%, draw 71%, Internacional 12%83' · 1–1 · Gremio 16%, draw 73%, Internacional 11%84' · 1–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 74%, Internacional 10%85' · 1–1 · Gremio 15%, draw 76%, Internacional 10%86' · 1–1 · Gremio 14%, draw 77%, Internacional 9%87' · 1–1 · Gremio 13%, draw 79%, Internacional 9%88' · 1–1 · Gremio 12%, draw 81%, Internacional 8%89' · 1–1 · Gremio 10%, draw 82%, Internacional 7%90' · 1–1 · Gremio 9%, draw 84%, Internacional 6%90+1' · 1–1 · Gremio 8%, draw 86%, Internacional 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Gremio 7%, draw 89%, Internacional 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Gremio 5%, draw 91%, Internacional 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Gremio 4%, draw 93%, Internacional 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Gremio 2%, draw 96%, Internacional 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Gremio 1%, draw 99%, Internacional 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 99% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Gremio 48% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 25'Internacional:Alan Patrick 1808 −6
  2. 27'Internacional:Rodrigo Villagra 1947 +3
  3. 29'Gremio:Mathias Villasanti 1907 −2
  4. 33'Internacional:Vitinho 1981 +6 assist Alerrandro 1928 +2
  5. 45'Internacional:Bruno Henrique 1528 −6 for Alan Patrick 1808 −6
  6. 53'Internacional:Bruno Henrique 1528 −6
  7. 60'Internacional:Johan Carbonero 1934 0 for Alerrandro 1928 +2
  8. 62'Gremio:Martin Braithwaite 1591 −7 for Filip Krovinović 1884 −11*
  9. 62'Gremio:José Enamorado 1850 −1 for Diego Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos 1834 −8*
  10. 65'Gremio:Francis Amuzu 2026 −2
  11. 69'Internacional:Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula 1778 −1 for Thiago Maia 1930 +1
  12. 73'Gremio:Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos 1717 0
  13. 85'Internacional:Felix Torres 1924 −9* for Brian Aguirre 1943 +3
  14. 85'Internacional:Matheus Bahia 1933 0 for Alexandro Bernabéi 1983 +6
  15. 86'Gremio:Gustavo Martins 1914 −8* for Danilo Barbosa da Silva 1888 −3
  16. 86'Gremio:Tetê 1902 0 for Francis Amuzu 2026 −2
  17. 87'Gremio:Caio Paulista 1855 −1 for Marlon 1965 −10*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations3-4-2-1
GWeverton1893−7
DDiego Caito1834−8*
DWallace17170
DW. Kannemann1595−7
DMarlon1965−10*
MF. Krovinović1884−11*
MDanilo Barbosa1888−3
MM. Villasanti1907−2
FC. Pavón1926−3
FCarlos Vinícius1948−3
FF. Amuzu2026−2
CRenato Gaúcho2118−5
GAnthoni1928+3
DBruno Gomes1971+6
DG. Mercado1577−5
DJuninho1786+11
MVitinho1981+6
MR. Villagra1947+3
MThiago Maia1930+1
MB. Aguirre1943+3
MAlan Patrick1808−6
MA. Bernabéi1983+6
FAlerrandro1928+2
CEduardo Baptista1780+10
Before kick-off: 48% · 29% · 23%(Gremio · draw · Internacional)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Gremio €2.0M, Internacional €3.3M.
  • Gremio were without 1 expected starter: Diego Caito (1842).
  • Home advantage made Gremio the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Gremio

18th in Série A · 30 pts from 29

  • 7 OctDRemo 1884
  • 20 SepDPalmeiras 1907
  • 16 SepLBotafogo 1897
  • 12 SepLVasco Da Gama 1875
  • 7 SepLVitoria 1916

Internacional

17th in Série A · 31 pts from 29

  • 7 OctWCorinthians 1873
  • 20 SepLSao Paulo 1854
  • 6 SepLSantos 1892
  • 3 SepLGremio 1892
  • 30 AugLBahia 1901

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Gremio30 /2941.80%0%31%18th
Internacional31 /2943.00%0%19%17th
Gremio
Internacional

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

F. Amuzu
F. Amuzu

Gremio · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2028

R. Villagra
R. Villagra

Internacional · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1944

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Renato Portaluppi

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Eduardo Alexandre Baptista

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Gremio: dribble-heavy (how Renato Portaluppi plays) · Internacional: balanced profile (how Eduardo Alexandre Baptista plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.