Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Grazer AK 0–0 Red Bull Salzburg
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz
Grazer AKTeam 1702
Red Bull SalzburgTeam 1932Match story
Grazer AK · draw · Red Bull SalzburgBefore kick-off: 25% · 26% · 49%
Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 95% · 3%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Red Bull Salzburg 49% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 53'Edmund Baidoo 1949 −8* for Yorbe Vertessen 1949 −8*
Red Bull Salzburg:Edmund Baidoo 1949 −8* for Yorbe Vertessen 1949 −8* - 54'Aboubacar Sidiki Camara 1572 −8* for Jesper Lindstrom 2036 −9*
Red Bull Salzburg:Aboubacar Sidiki Camara 1572 −8* for Jesper Lindstrom 2036 −9* - 54'Haris Tabaković 2081 −5 for Sota Kitano 1910 −8*
Red Bull Salzburg:Haris Tabaković 2081 −5 for Sota Kitano 1910 −8* - 55'Abubakr Barry 1942 −8*
Red Bull Salzburg:Abubakr Barry 1942 −8* - 64'Tim Drexler 1888 −8*
Red Bull Salzburg:Tim Drexler 1888 −8* - Tim Trummer 1763 −7* for Christian Lichtenberger 1666 −7*68'
Grazer AK:Tim Trummer 1763 −7* for Christian Lichtenberger 1666 −7* - 68'Bartosz Mazurek 1954 −8* for Abubakr Barry 1942 −8*
Red Bull Salzburg:Bartosz Mazurek 1954 −8* for Abubakr Barry 1942 −8* - Petar Markovic 1848 −7* for Christopher Cvetko 1518 −3*75'
Grazer AK:Petar Markovic 1848 −7* for Christopher Cvetko 1518 −3* - 75'Gaoussou Diakité 1786 −8* for Karim Konate 1931 −8*
Red Bull Salzburg:Gaoussou Diakité 1786 −8* for Karim Konate 1931 −8* - Ludwig Vraa Jensen 1593 −7* for Beres Owusu 1785 −4*83'
Grazer AK:Ludwig Vraa Jensen 1593 −7* for Beres Owusu 1785 −4* - Jacob Italiano 1815 −4*89'
Grazer AK:Jacob Italiano 1815 −4*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 25% · 26% · 49%(Grazer AK · draw · Red Bull Salzburg)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Grazer AK €489K, Red Bull Salzburg €2.3M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Bundesliga matchday 8: 247 points.
- Bundesliga: K. Boma was the highest-rated defender (2041).
- Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): Grazer AK ranked #11 of 12, Red Bull Salzburg #1.
- Red Bull Salzburg were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Grazer AK
9th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7
- 19 SepDAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1703
- 12 SepWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1630
- 29 AugDWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1670
- 21 AugLRied Austrian Bundesliga1672
- 16 AugLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1697
Red Bull Salzburg
2nd in Bundesliga · 17 pts from 7
- 20 SepWSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1910
- 17 SepWLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1918
- 11 SepDRied Austrian Bundesliga1909
- 2 SepWRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1890
- 30 AugWAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1877
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 8 /7 | 27.0 | 0% | 6% | 21% | 6th |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 17 /7 | 45.3 | 48% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Grazer AK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1744

Red Bull Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 2041
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Grazer AK: direct (how Gerald Scheiblehner plays) · Red Bull Salzburg: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Danny Röhl plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.