Süper Lig · Regular Season - 11
Göztepe vs Başakşehir
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Göztepe host Başakşehir on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Göztepe 35%, draw 29%, Başakşehir 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Göztepe €1.9M, Başakşehir €3.0M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Süper Lig): Göztepe rank #1 of 18, Başakşehir #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Göztepe goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Göztepe 1841 · Başakşehir 1951
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Göztepe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1963
Başakşehir · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2039
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Göztepe
13th in Süper Lig · 9 pts from 8
- 18 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1857
- 12 OctWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1851
- 20 SepDRizespor Turkey Super Lig1770
- 12 SepDAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1760
- 7 SepLGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1823
Başakşehir
10th in Süper Lig · 11 pts from 8
- 18 OctWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1916
- 11 OctDKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1927
- 19 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1916
- 13 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig1958
- 4 SepLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1970
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Göztepe | 9 /8 | 38.9 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 14th |
| Başakşehir | 11 /8 | 47.2 | 0% | 3% | 2% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Göztepe: direct · high-pressing (how S. Stoilov plays) · Başakşehir: balanced profile (how Nuri Şahin plays)