Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 16
Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze host Wisla Plock on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gornik Zabrze 62%, draw 23%, Wisla Plock 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gornik Zabrze €1.3M, Wisla Plock €565K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Ekstraklasa): Gornik Zabrze rank #3 of 20, Wisla Plock #19.
- Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gornik Zabrze goals first.
- 1–013%
- 2–012%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 0–07%
- Other scores40%
Team Elo: Gornik Zabrze 1881 · Wisla Plock 1660
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gornik Zabrze · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 1967
Wisla Plock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1788
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gornik Zabrze
2nd in Ekstraklasa · 31 pts from 14
- 7 NovWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1881
- 30 OctDLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1909
- 23 OctDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1886
- 18 OctDPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1909
- 10 OctWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1858
Wisla Plock
12th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 13
- 6 NovLMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1666
- 31 OctDPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1633
- 25 OctLJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1706
- 19 OctWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1686
- 9 OctLWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1671
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | 31 /14 | 65.2 | 27% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
| Wisla Plock | 15 /13 | 40.4 | 0% | 1% | 21% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gornik Zabrze: possession-based (how Michal Gašparík plays) · Wisla Plock: balanced profile (how A. Majewski plays)