Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14
Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze host Wieczysta Kraków on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gornik Zabrze 60%, draw 23%, Wieczysta Kraków 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gornik Zabrze €1.5M, Wieczysta Kraków €576K.
- Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gornik Zabrze goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Gornik Zabrze 1887 · Wieczysta Kraków 1684
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gornik Zabrze · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1950
Wieczysta Kraków · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1689
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gornik Zabrze
1st in Ekstraklasa · 26 pts from 11
- 18 OctDPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1910
- 10 OctWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1862
- 19 SepDMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1883
- 15 SepWKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1872
- 12 SepWLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1860
Wieczysta Kraków
15th in Ekstraklasa · 8 pts from 11
- 16 OctLRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1686
- 12 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1675
- 9 OctWWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1666
- 18 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1657
- 13 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1662
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | 26 /11 | 65.3 | 28% | 95% | 0% | 2nd |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 8 /11 | 37.0 | 0% | <1% | 39% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based