Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11
Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Piast Gliwice
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:15 UTC · Arena Zabrze, Zabrze
Gornik ZabrzeTeam 1866
Piast GliwiceTeam 1666Match story
Gornik Zabrze · draw · Piast GliwiceBefore kick-off: 60% · 23% · 17%
Last reading, 90+3': 7% · 88% · 4%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Gornik Zabrze 60% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Rafał Janicki 1920 −11 assist Erik Janža 1900 −95'
Gornik Zabrze:Rafał Janicki 1920 −11 assist Erik Janža 1900 −9 - 7'Hugo Vallejo 1767 +15
Piast Gliwice:Hugo Vallejo 1767 +15 - 59'Jakub Lewicki 1754 +6
Piast Gliwice:Jakub Lewicki 1754 +6 - Erik Prekop 1703 −1 for Sondre Liseth 1832 −260'
Gornik Zabrze:Erik Prekop 1703 −1 for Sondre Liseth 1832 −2 - 68'Oskar·Lesniak 1534 +3 for Jakub Labojko 1664 +5
Piast Gliwice:Oskar·Lesniak 1534 +3 for Jakub Labojko 1664 +5 - 68'Szczepan·Mucha 1258 −1* for Andreas Katsantonis 1473 +12
Piast Gliwice:Szczepan·Mucha 1258 −1* for Andreas Katsantonis 1473 +12 - Yvan Ikia Dimi 1741 0 for Peter Federico González Carmona 1948 −271'
Gornik Zabrze:Yvan Ikia Dimi 1741 0 for Peter Federico González Carmona 1948 −2 - Zeidane Inoussa 1755 0 for Maksym Khlan 1920 −271'
Gornik Zabrze:Zeidane Inoussa 1755 0 for Maksym Khlan 1920 −2 - Jarosław Kubicki 1923 −3 for Paulo Bernardo 2007 −1085'
Gornik Zabrze:Jarosław Kubicki 1923 −3 for Paulo Bernardo 2007 −10 - 86'Elton Fikaj 1598 −7* for Jakub Lewicki 1754 +6
Piast Gliwice:Elton Fikaj 1598 −7* for Jakub Lewicki 1754 +6 - 86'Oliwier Maziarz 1394 +1 for Samuel Ntamack Ndimba 1656 +9
Piast Gliwice:Oliwier Maziarz 1394 +1 for Samuel Ntamack Ndimba 1656 +9 - 89'Elton Fikaj 1598 −7*
Piast Gliwice:Elton Fikaj 1598 −7*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 60% · 23% · 17%(Gornik Zabrze · draw · Piast Gliwice)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Gornik Zabrze €1.4M, Piast Gliwice €625K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Ekstraklasa matchday 11: 226 points.
- Gornik Zabrze were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gornik Zabrze
1st in Ekstraklasa · 25 pts from 10
- 10 OctWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1862
- 19 SepDMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1883
- 15 SepWKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1872
- 12 SepWLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1860
- 6 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1823
Piast Gliwice
7th in Ekstraklasa · 16 pts from 10
- 11 OctWWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1698
- 20 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1690
- 14 SepWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1665
- 4 SepWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1639
- 29 AugWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1605
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | 25 /10 | 66.6 | 41% | 96% | 0% | 1st |
| Piast Gliwice | 16 /10 | 44.7 | 0% | 4% | 6% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gornik Zabrze · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1955

Piast Gliwice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1658
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gornik Zabrze: possession-based (how Michal Gašparík plays) · Piast Gliwice: balanced profile (how Daniel Myśliwiec plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.