Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 10
Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
Golden Arrows host Marumo Gallants on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Premier Soccer League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Golden Arrows 57%, draw 24%, Marumo Gallants 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Golden Arrows €227K, Marumo Gallants €129K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier Soccer League): Golden Arrows rank #2 of 17, Marumo Gallants #14.
- Marumo Gallants' expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Golden Arrows goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Golden Arrows 1281 · Marumo Gallants 1091
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Golden Arrows · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1334
Marumo Gallants · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 912
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Golden Arrows
8th in Premier Soccer League · 8 pts from 8
- 17 OctLMilford FC South Africa PSL1290
- 20 SepDKaizer Chiefs South Africa PSL1281
- 13 SepDSiwelele South Africa PSL1287
- 6 SepLMamelodi Sundowns South Africa PSL1317
- 26 AugWStellenbosch South Africa PSL1236
Marumo Gallants
16th in Premier Soccer League · 2 pts from 8
- 17 OctLSekhukhune United South Africa PSL1112
- 20 SepLOrlando Pirates South Africa PSL1082
- 12 SepLAmazulu South Africa PSL1101
- 4 SepDPolokwane City South Africa PSL1093
- 25 AugLTS Galaxy South Africa PSL1101
Season outlook
From the Premier Soccer League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 8 /8 | 36.5 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 8th |
| Marumo Gallants | 2 /8 | 21.3 | 0% | 0% | 87% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Golden Arrows: balanced profile (how Pitso Dladla Sifiso plays) · Marumo Gallants: balanced profile (how R. Kanalelo plays)