Indian Super League · Regular Season - 5
Goa vs Bengaluru
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Goa host Bengaluru on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Indian Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Goa 34%, draw 29%, Bengaluru 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Goa €152K, Bengaluru €220K.
- Indian Super League: M. Koch is the highest-rated defender (1743).
- Style contrast in attacking (Indian Super League): Goa rank #2 of 10, Bengaluru #10.
- Bengaluru are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Goa goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Goa 1405 · Bengaluru 1494
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Goa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1507
Bengaluru · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1606
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Goa
8th in Indian Super League · 1 pts from 1
- 10 OctDChennaiyin India ISL1412
- 18 MayLKerala Blasters India ISL1469
- 9 MayDATK Mohun Bagan India ISL1490
- 1 MayLJamshedpur India ISL1535
- 24 AprWNorthEast United India ISL1510
Bengaluru
2nd in Indian Super League · 6 pts from 2
- 17 OctWChennaiyin India ISL1443
- 10 OctWSC Delhi India ISL1485
- 16 MayWChennaiyin India ISL1436
- 9 MayWJamshedpur India ISL1458
- 4 MayDOdisha India ISL1425
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goa | 1 /1 | 15.5 | 3% | 20% | 22% | 9th |
| Bengaluru | 6 /2 | 21.2 | 25% | 70% | 2% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Goa: balanced profile (how Manolo Marquez plays) · Bengaluru: balanced profile (how Pep Munoz plays)