Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 3
GKS Katowice 2–1 Wieczysta Kraków
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Stadion GKS Katowice, Katowice
GKS KatowiceTeam 1686
Wieczysta KrakówTeam 1673Match story
GKS Katowice · draw · Wieczysta KrakówBefore kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%
Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Ilia Shkurin 15'
- Bartosz Nowak 74'
- Bartosz Bialek 62'
We gave GKS Katowice 44% to win: they did.
- Ilia Shkurin 1812 +24 assist Bartosz Nowak 1781 +2415'
GKS Katowice:Ilia Shkurin 1812 +24 assist Bartosz Nowak 1781 +24 - 45'Efthymios Koulouris 1699 −4 for José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido 1668 −1
Wieczysta Kraków:Efthymios Koulouris 1699 −4 for José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido 1668 −1 - Bartosz Wolski 1687 −2* for Mateusz·Kowalczyk 1778 +545'
GKS Katowice:Bartosz Wolski 1687 −2* for Mateusz·Kowalczyk 1778 +5 - 62'Matúš Vojtko 1699 −9* for Kamil Pestka 1625 −1
Wieczysta Kraków:Matúš Vojtko 1699 −9* for Kamil Pestka 1625 −1 - 62'Bartosz Bialek 1637 0 for Tobias Christensen 1700 −3
Wieczysta Kraków:Bartosz Bialek 1637 0 for Tobias Christensen 1700 −3 - 62'Bartosz Bialek 1637 0 assist Duje Dujmovic 1591 0
Wieczysta Kraków:Bartosz Bialek 1637 0 assist Duje Dujmovic 1591 0 - Borja Galan 1633 0 for Mateusz Wdowiak 1682 +963'
GKS Katowice:Borja Galan 1633 0 for Mateusz Wdowiak 1682 +9 - Szymon bartlewicz 1501 +1* for Marcel Wedrychowski 1642 +1363'
GKS Katowice:Szymon bartlewicz 1501 +1* for Marcel Wedrychowski 1642 +13 - 68'Ben Lederman 1643 −8* for Lisandro Semedo 1532 −2
Wieczysta Kraków:Ben Lederman 1643 −8* for Lisandro Semedo 1532 −2 - Bartosz Nowak 1781 +24 assist Borja Galan 1633 074'
GKS Katowice:Bartosz Nowak 1781 +24 assist Borja Galan 1633 0 - Arkadiusz Jedrych 1636 −4 for Alan Czerwiński 1643 +1179'
GKS Katowice:Arkadiusz Jedrych 1636 −4 for Alan Czerwiński 1643 +11 - 82'Nikola·Knezevic 1591 −8* for Antonio Milic 1787 −14
Wieczysta Kraków:Nikola·Knezevic 1591 −8* for Antonio Milic 1787 −14 - Sebastian Milewski 1630 0 for Kacper Lukasiak 1686 +1585'
GKS Katowice:Sebastian Milewski 1630 0 for Kacper Lukasiak 1686 +15
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%(GKS Katowice · draw · Wieczysta Kraków)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: GKS Katowice €561K, Wieczysta Kraków €526K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
GKS Katowice
7th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 9
- 9 OctWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1688
- 19 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1658
- 12 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1701
- 4 SepLPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1734
- 30 AugWGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1711
Wieczysta Kraków
14th in Ekstraklasa · 8 pts from 9
- 9 OctWWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1666
- 18 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1657
- 13 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1662
- 7 SepDZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1686
- 29 AugLWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1694
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 15 /9 | 47.9 | <1% | 12% | 2% | 6th |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 8 /9 | 40.4 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

GKS Katowice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1757

Wieczysta Kraków · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1703
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.