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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

GKS Katowice 0–1 Pogon Szczecin

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS Katowice crestGKS KatowiceTeam 1705
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Pogon Szczecin crestPogon SzczecinTeam 1857

Match story

GKS Katowice · draw · Pogon Szczecin

Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 40%

Live chances: GKS Katowice 0%, draw 3%, Pogon Szczecin 97% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 32%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 40%2' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 32%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 40%3' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 40%4' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 40%5' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 39%6' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 39%7' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 39%8' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 39%9' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 39%10' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 39%11' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 39%12' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 39%13' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 39%14' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 39%15' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 39%16' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 38%17' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 38%18' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 38%19' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 38%20' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 38%21' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 38%22' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 38%23' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 38%24' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 38%25' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 37%26' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 31%, draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 37%27' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 37%28' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 32%, Pogon Szczecin 37%30' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 33%, Pogon Szczecin 37%31' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 33%, Pogon Szczecin 37%32' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 33%, Pogon Szczecin 37%33' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 34%, Pogon Szczecin 36%34' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 34%, Pogon Szczecin 36%35' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 34%, Pogon Szczecin 36%36' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 34%, Pogon Szczecin 36%37' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 34%, Pogon Szczecin 36%38' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 30%, draw 35%, Pogon Szczecin 36%39' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 29%, draw 35%, Pogon Szczecin 36%40' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 29%, draw 35%, Pogon Szczecin 35%41' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 29%, draw 36%, Pogon Szczecin 35%42' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 29%, draw 36%, Pogon Szczecin 35%43' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 29%, draw 36%, Pogon Szczecin 35%44' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 29%, draw 36%, Pogon Szczecin 35%45' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 29%, draw 37%, Pogon Szczecin 34%HT · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 28%, draw 38%, Pogon Szczecin 34%47' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 28%, draw 38%, Pogon Szczecin 33%48' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 11%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 65%49' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 28%, draw 39%, Pogon Szczecin 33%50' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 28%, draw 40%, Pogon Szczecin 33%51' · 0–0 · GKS Katowice 27%, draw 40%, Pogon Szczecin 32%55' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 9%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 67%56' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 9%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 68%57' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 8%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 68%58' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 8%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 69%59' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 8%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 69%60' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 8%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 69%61' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 7%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 70%62' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 7%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 70%63' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 7%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 70%64' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 7%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 71%65' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 6%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 71%66' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 6%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 72%67' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 6%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 72%68' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 6%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 73%69' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 5%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 73%70' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 5%, draw 21%, Pogon Szczecin 74%72' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 5%, draw 21%, Pogon Szczecin 75%73' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 4%, draw 20%, Pogon Szczecin 75%75' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 4%, draw 20%, Pogon Szczecin 76%76' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 4%, draw 19%, Pogon Szczecin 77%77' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 3%, draw 19%, Pogon Szczecin 78%78' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 3%, draw 18%, Pogon Szczecin 78%79' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 3%, draw 18%, Pogon Szczecin 79%80' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 3%, draw 17%, Pogon Szczecin 80%81' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 2%, draw 17%, Pogon Szczecin 81%82' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 2%, draw 16%, Pogon Szczecin 82%83' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 2%, draw 16%, Pogon Szczecin 82%84' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 2%, draw 15%, Pogon Szczecin 83%85' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 2%, draw 14%, Pogon Szczecin 84%86' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 1%, draw 13%, Pogon Szczecin 85%87' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 1%, draw 13%, Pogon Szczecin 86%88' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 1%, draw 12%, Pogon Szczecin 87%89' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 1%, draw 11%, Pogon Szczecin 89%90' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 1%, draw 10%, Pogon Szczecin 90%90+1' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 0%, draw 8%, Pogon Szczecin 91%90+2' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 0%, draw 7%, Pogon Szczecin 93%90+3' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 0%, draw 6%, Pogon Szczecin 94%90+4' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 0%, draw 4%, Pogon Szczecin 96%90+5' · 0–1 · GKS Katowice 0%, draw 3%, Pogon Szczecin 97%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Pogon Szczecin 40% to win: they did.

  1. 51'Pogon Szczecin:Jordi Sánchez 1838 +48 assist Attila Szalai 2134 +18
  2. 65'GKS Katowice:Lukas Klemenz 1770 −10
  3. 68'GKS Katowice:Bartosz Wolski 1685 −2 for Mateusz·Kowalczyk 1773 −5
  4. 72'Pogon Szczecin:Kamil Grosicki 1420 +7 for Darko Churlinov 1935 +12
  5. 73'GKS Katowice:Erik Jirka 1710 −10* for Marcin Wasielewski 1697 −6
  6. 73'GKS Katowice:Mateusz Wdowiak 1679 −3 for Marcel Wedrychowski 1642 0
  7. 82'Pogon Szczecin:Lukas Willen 1805 +5 for Maciej Wojciechowski 1606 +27
  8. 82'Pogon Szczecin:Kellyn Acosta 1853 −1 for Jan Bieganski 1782 +55
  9. 83'Pogon Szczecin:Isaiah·Eichie for Alessandro Riccio 1834 +49
  10. 84'GKS Katowice:Adam Zreľák 1573 −4 for Alan Czerwiński 1638 −5
  11. 87'Pogon Szczecin:Natan Lawa 1525 −5* for Jordi Sánchez 1838 +48

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-4-2
GG. Kobylak1733−14
DA. Czerwiński1638−5
DL. Klemenz1770−10
DPau Resta1727−13
MM. Wasielewski1697−6
MK. Łukasiak1681−5
MM. Kowalczyk1773−5
MBorja Galán1628−5
FM. Wędrychowski16420
FI. Shkurin1802−9
FB. Nowak1770−12
CR. Górak1759−12
GV. Cojocaru2091+23
DA. Riccio1834+49
DD. Keramitsis2030+31
DA. Szalai2134+18
DB. Mendy1910+41
MD. Churlinov1935+12
MJ. Biegański1782+55
MP. Dziczek1902+15
MM. Wojciechowski1606+27
FJordi Sánchez1838+48
FP. Mukairu2042+10
CÓscar García2024+21
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 40%(GKS Katowice · draw · Pogon Szczecin)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: GKS Katowice €538K, Pogon Szczecin €1.4M.
  • Ekstraklasa: V. Cojocaru was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2067).
  • Pogon Szczecin were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

GKS Katowice

5th in Ekstraklasa · 18 pts from 10

  • 12 OctWWieczysta Kraków 1713
  • 9 OctWRaków Częstochowa 1688
  • 19 SepWCracovia Krakow 1658
  • 12 SepLZaglebie Lubin 1701
  • 4 SepLPiast Gliwice 1734

Pogon Szczecin

4th in Ekstraklasa · 18 pts from 9

  • 11 OctWKorona Kielce 1857
  • 20 SepWPiast Gliwice 1818
  • 13 SepWWieczysta Kraków 1764
  • 7 SepDWisla Plock 1766
  • 29 AugDZaglebie Lubin 1856

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
GKS Katowice18 /1050.0<1%19%1%6th
Pogon Szczecin18 /957.35%64%0%4th
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

B. Nowak
B. Nowak

GKS Katowice · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1781

V. Cojocaru
V. Cojocaru

Pogon Szczecin · +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2067

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rafał Górak

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Óscar García Junyent

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

GKS Katowice: balanced profile (how Rafał Górak plays) · Pogon Szczecin: balanced profile (how Óscar García Junyent plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.