Segunda División · Regular Season - 15
Girona vs Eibar
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Girona host Eibar on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Girona 51%, draw 26%, Eibar 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Girona €3.3M, Eibar €975K.
- Segunda División: V. Vanat is the highest-rated forward (2081).
- Eibar's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.6 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Girona goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–17%
- Other scores40%
Team Elo: Girona 1925 · Eibar 1846
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Girona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1978
Eibar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Elite) · Elo 1910
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Girona
8th in Segunda División · 21 pts from 13
- 8 NovLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1939
- 31 OctLReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1930
- 24 OctWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1930
- 18 OctWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1893
- 12 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1961
Eibar
4th in Segunda División · 23 pts from 12
- 31 OctDAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1859
- 24 OctLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1802
- 17 OctDMallorca Spain Segunda Division1877
- 12 OctLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1888
- 3 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1876
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 21 /13 | 71.0 | 10% | 51% | 0% | 2nd |
| Eibar | 23 /12 | 68.8 | 5% | 36% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Girona: possession-based (how Quique Alvarez plays) · Eibar: balanced profile (how Jokin Arambarri plays)