Segunda División · Regular Season - 13
Girona vs Almeria
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Girona host Almeria on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Girona 50%, draw 27%, Almeria 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Girona €3.7M, Almeria €1.4M.
- Segunda División: Fran Beltrán is the highest-rated midfielder (2050).
- Girona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Almeria have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Girona goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Girona 1944 · Almeria 1886
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Girona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1990
Almeria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1886
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Girona
6th in Segunda División · 18 pts from 10
- 18 OctWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1901
- 12 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1965
- 4 OctDMallorca Spain Segunda Division1914
- 25 SepWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1899
- 19 SepWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1917
Almeria
1st in Segunda División · 24 pts from 10
- 17 OctWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1875
- 11 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1849
- 3 OctWBurgos Spain Segunda Division1848
- 27 SepWMallorca Spain Segunda Division1808
- 20 SepWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1821
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 18 /10 | 75.4 | 23% | 71% | 0% | 1st |
| Almeria | 24 /10 | 76.2 | 27% | 73% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Girona: possession-based (how Quique Alvarez plays) · Almeria: creative · shot-heavy (how Javier Garcia Pimienta Francisco plays)