Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Gimnasia M. 1–0 Newells Old Boys
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Gimnasia M.Team 1674
Newells Old BoysTeam 1715Match story
Gimnasia M. · draw · Newells Old BoysBefore kick-off: 38% · 31% · 31%
Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Agustín Módica 58'
We gave Gimnasia M. 38% to win: they did.
- 49'Luca Regiardo 1719 0
Newells Old Boys:Luca Regiardo 1719 0 - Agustín Módica 1773 +57 assist Matías Vargas 2040 +1358'
Gimnasia M.:Agustín Módica 1773 +57 assist Matías Vargas 2040 +13 - 60'Lucas Carrizo 1818 −10
Newells Old Boys:Lucas Carrizo 1818 −10 - 62'Jerónimo Gómez Mattar 1570 0 for Luca Regiardo 1719 0
Newells Old Boys:Jerónimo Gómez Mattar 1570 0 for Luca Regiardo 1719 0 - 63'Alan Soñora 1639 −1 for Facundo Samuel Guch 1669 0
Newells Old Boys:Alan Soñora 1639 −1 for Facundo Samuel Guch 1669 0 - Germán Guiffrey 1743 +8* for Diego Mondino 1756 +3663'
Gimnasia M.:Germán Guiffrey 1743 +8* for Diego Mondino 1756 +36 - Nahuel Barboza 1446 +10 for Matías Vargas 2040 +1363'
Gimnasia M.:Nahuel Barboza 1446 +10 for Matías Vargas 2040 +13 - Matías Emiliano Recalde 1745 +2065'
Gimnasia M.:Matías Emiliano Recalde 1745 +20 - Martín Úbeda 1383 +15* for Luciano César Cingolani 1600 +15*71'
Gimnasia M.:Martín Úbeda 1383 +15* for Luciano César Cingolani 1600 +15* - Blas Armoa Nunez 1601 +6 for Fermin Antonini 1738 +1571'
Gimnasia M.:Blas Armoa Nunez 1601 +6 for Fermin Antonini 1738 +15 - 77'Juan Ignacio Ramírez 1480 −9* for Franco Escobar 1745 −13*
Newells Old Boys:Juan Ignacio Ramírez 1480 −9* for Franco Escobar 1745 −13* - Lautaro Carrera 1494 −4* for Esteban Fernández 1703 +2181'
Gimnasia M.:Lautaro Carrera 1494 −4* for Esteban Fernández 1703 +21 - 89'Walter Nunez 1537 0 for Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra 1873 −14
Newells Old Boys:Walter Nunez 1537 0 for Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra 1873 −14 - 89'Francisco Scarpeccio 1399 −8* for Rodrigo Herrera 1736 −2
Newells Old Boys:Francisco Scarpeccio 1399 −8* for Rodrigo Herrera 1736 −2 - Nahuel Barboza 1446 +1090+4'
Gimnasia M.:Nahuel Barboza 1446 +10
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 31% · 31%(Gimnasia M. · draw · Newells Old Boys)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 11%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Gimnasia M. €816K, Newells Old Boys €1.1M.
- Home advantage made Gimnasia M. the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Newells Old Boys were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gimnasia M.
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 5 OctLEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1731
- 19 SepDDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 11 SepLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1657
- 5 SepDBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1677
- 30 AugWIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1685
Newells Old Boys
14th in Liga Profesional · 15 pts from 16
- 3 OctDLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1751
- 20 SepWPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1727
- 11 SepDVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 6 SepDRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1728
- 31 AugDEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1680
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. | 19 /16 | 25.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22nd |
| Newells Old Boys | 15 /16 | 22.3 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 25th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gimnasia M. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1719

Newells Old Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1827
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gimnasia M.: balanced profile (how Darío Javier Franco Gatti plays) · Newells Old Boys: balanced profile (how Frank Darío Kudelka plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.