Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16
Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Gimnasia M. host Independ. Rivadavia on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gimnasia M. 33%, draw 29%, Independ. Rivadavia 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gimnasia M. €803K, Independ. Rivadavia €1.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gimnasia M. goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Gimnasia M. 1677 · Independ. Rivadavia 1807
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gimnasia M. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1749
Independ. Rivadavia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1862
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gimnasia M.
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 23 OctLPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1647
- 17 OctLVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1745
- 12 OctWNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1708
- 5 OctLEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1731
- 19 SepDDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1637
Independ. Rivadavia
1st in Liga Profesional · 34 pts from 16
- 17 OctDTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1825
- 11 OctLRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1849
- 3 OctDGimnasia L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1874
- 21 SepWBarracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional1848
- 12 SepWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1830
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. | 19 /16 | 21.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24th |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 34 /16 | 38.7 | 67% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gimnasia M.: balanced profile (how D. Franco plays) · Independ. Rivadavia: balanced profile (how A. Berti plays)