Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Gimnasia L.P. host Sarmiento Junin on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gimnasia L.P. 49%, draw 27%, Sarmiento Junin 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gimnasia L.P. €657K, Sarmiento Junin €559K.
- Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gimnasia L.P. goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Gimnasia L.P. 1726 · Sarmiento Junin 1655
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gimnasia L.P. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1734
Sarmiento Junin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1710
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gimnasia L.P.
6th in Liga Profesional · 26 pts from 16
- 15 OctWHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional1727
- 9 OctDAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional1698
- 3 OctDIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1723
- 19 SepDBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1722
- 13 SepDArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1719
Sarmiento Junin
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 14 OctDRiver Plate Argentina Liga Profesional1670
- 9 OctWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1630
- 19 SepLRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1676
- 13 SepDBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 4 SepWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1666
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P. | 26 /16 | 30.9 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 8th |
| Sarmiento Junin | 19 /16 | 23.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gimnasia L.P.: balanced profile (how Ariel Gustavo Pereyra plays) · Sarmiento Junin: direct (how Facundo Sava plays)