Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Atletico Tucuman
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Gimnasia L.P.Team 1683Atletico TucumanTeam 1573We gave Gimnasia L.P. 51% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 51% · 27% · 22%(Gimnasia L.P. · draw · Atletico Tucuman)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Gimnasia L.P. €645K, Atletico Tucuman €581K.
- Gimnasia L.P. were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gimnasia L.P.
6th in Liga Profesional · 26 pts from 16
- 3 OctDIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1723
- 19 SepDBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1722
- 13 SepDArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1719
- 5 SepWTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1701
- 29 AugWRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1677
Atletico Tucuman
13th in Liga Profesional · 14 pts from 16
- 3 OctLBarracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional1657
- 21 SepLAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1650
- 12 SepLRiver Plate Argentina Liga Profesional1671
- 7 SepWRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1648
- 30 AugDBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1643
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P. | 26 /16 | 33.9 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 8th |
| Atletico Tucuman | 14 /16 | 19.6 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 27th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gimnasia L.P. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1715
Atletico Tucuman · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1685
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gimnasia L.P.: balanced profile (how Ariel Gustavo Pereyra plays) · Atletico Tucuman: balanced profile (how Julio César Falcioni Capdevila plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.