Primera Nacional · Round of 16
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy host Almirante Brown on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera Nacional); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gimnasia Jujuy 43%, draw 28%, Almirante Brown 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gimnasia Jujuy €134K, Almirante Brown €140K.
- Home advantage makes Gimnasia Jujuy the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- M. Alvarez, G. Cosaro, H. Soria, N. Dematei, Martin Lazarte, D. Gallardo, D. Minervino, F. Maidana, C. Menéndez and A. Argañaraz (Gimnasia Jujuy) have not played for over 90 days.
- G. Alegre Rojas and U. Abreliano (Almirante Brown) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gimnasia Jujuy goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Gimnasia Jujuy 1443 · Almirante Brown 1445
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almirante Brown · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1490
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gimnasia Jujuy
4th in Primera Nacional · 58 pts from 36
- 12 JulDChacarita Juniors Argentine Primera Nacional1458
- 5 JulDMidland Argentine Primera Nacional1455
- 6 JunLAtlanta Argentine Primera Nacional1468
- 24 MayDGimnasia Y Tiro Argentine Primera Nacional1436
- 17 MayWTemperley Argentine Primera Nacional1468
Almirante Brown
6th in Primera Nacional · 51 pts from 36
- 26 SepLAcassuso Argentine Primera Nacional1415
- 11 JulDAll Boys Argentine Primera Nacional1413
- 4 JulWLos Andes Argentine Primera Nacional1437
- 7 JunLDeportivo Moron Argentine Primera Nacional1472
- 30 MayDColon Santa Fe Argentine Primera Nacional1475
Season outlook
From the Primera Nacional simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 58 /36 | 59.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
| Almirante Brown | 51 /36 | 52.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 36th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –