K League 1 · Regular Season - 33
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Gimcheon Sangmu FC host Daejeon Citizen on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%, draw 29%, Daejeon Citizen 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gimcheon Sangmu FC €364K, Daejeon Citizen €524K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of K League 1 matchday 33: 132 points.
- Style contrast in discipline (K League 1): Gimcheon Sangmu FC rank #3 of 13, Daejeon Citizen #10.
- All 11 of Daejeon Citizen's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Daejeon Citizen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gimcheon Sangmu FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1583 · Daejeon Citizen 1715
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1596
Daejeon Citizen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1792
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
10th in K League 1 · 34 pts from 32
- 18 OctDFC Seoul K League 11569
- 10 OctLFC Anyang K League 11528
- 19 SepWBucheon FC 1995 K League 11573
- 13 SepDGangwon FC K League 11524
- 9 SepDPohang Steelers K League 11599
Daejeon Citizen
5th in K League 1 · 46 pts from 32
- 18 OctWGwangju FC K League 11708
- 13 OctDShanghai SIPG AFC Champions League1678
- 9 OctWJeonbuk Motors K League 11681
- 20 SepDIncheon United K League 11693
- 15 SepWKyoto Sanga AFC Champions League1682
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 34 /32 | 35.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 10th |
| Daejeon Citizen | 46 /32 | 47.5 | 0% | 52% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gimcheon Sangmu FC: balanced profile (how Seung-jin Joo plays) · Daejeon Citizen: balanced profile (how Sun-Hong Hwang plays)