Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 20:15 UTC
GIL Vicente host Vitória SC on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Primeira Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: GIL Vicente 42%, draw 29%, Vitória SC 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: GIL Vicente €1.3M, Vitória SC €1.5M.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Primeira Liga average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. GIL Vicente goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: GIL Vicente 1773 · Vitória SC 1771
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
GIL Vicente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1754
Vitória SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1624
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
GIL Vicente
7th in Primeira Liga · 11 pts from 7
- 9 OctWMoreirense Primeira Liga1753
- 19 SepDMaritimo Primeira Liga1755
- 13 SepLBenfica Primeira Liga1723
- 6 SepLAcademico Viseu Primeira Liga1807
- 30 AugDFamalicao Primeira Liga1779
Vitória SC
15th in Primeira Liga · 5 pts from 8
- 11 OctLBenfica Primeira Liga1762
- 20 SepDMoreirense Primeira Liga1777
- 12 SepLAcademico Viseu Primeira Liga1773
- 6 SepDCasa Pia Primeira Liga1761
- 31 AugLSC Braga Primeira Liga1773
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 11 /7 | 44.5 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 6th |
| Vitória SC | 5 /8 | 38.4 | 0% | 1% | 15% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
GIL Vicente: balanced profile (how Luís Miguel Correia Pinto plays) · Vitória SC: balanced profile (how Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido plays)