Superettan · Regular Season - 27
GIF Sundsvall 0–1 IFK Varnamo
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Idrottsparken, Sundsvall
GIF SundsvallTeam 1247
IFK VarnamoTeam 1489Match story
GIF Sundsvall · draw · IFK VarnamoBefore kick-off: 24% · 27% · 49%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kai Meriluoto 62'
We gave IFK Varnamo 49% to win: they did.
- malte hallin 1244 −9*25'
GIF Sundsvall:malte hallin 1244 −9* - kawa sulaiman 1081 for Shalom Ekong 1298 −13*28'
GIF Sundsvall:kawa sulaiman 1081 for Shalom Ekong 1298 −13* - 37'Arash Motaraghebjafarpour 1660 +14
IFK Varnamo:Arash Motaraghebjafarpour 1660 +14 - 62'Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa for Hugo Andersson Mella 1404 +30
IFK Varnamo:Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa for Hugo Andersson Mella 1404 +30 - 62'Simon Thern 1352 for Kai Meriluoto 1526 +22
IFK Varnamo:Simon Thern 1352 for Kai Meriluoto 1526 +22 - 62'Kai Meriluoto 1526 +22
IFK Varnamo:Kai Meriluoto 1526 +22 - Marc Manchón 1251 for Carl Bjork 1339 −16*68'
GIF Sundsvall:Marc Manchón 1251 for Carl Bjork 1339 −16* - Eron Gojani 1236 for Elvis Hansson 1128 068'
GIF Sundsvall:Eron Gojani 1236 for Elvis Hansson 1128 0 - 74'Simon Thern 1352
IFK Varnamo:Simon Thern 1352 - Miguel Sandberg 1122 for malte hallin 1244 −9*76'
GIF Sundsvall:Miguel Sandberg 1122 for malte hallin 1244 −9* - 77'Erik Jacob Freij for Arash Motaraghebjafarpour 1660 +14
IFK Varnamo:Erik Jacob Freij for Arash Motaraghebjafarpour 1660 +14 - Jeremiah Bjornler 1210 for Alper Demirol 1341 −16*77'
GIF Sundsvall:Jeremiah Bjornler 1210 for Alper Demirol 1341 −16* - 83'Samuel olsson 1346 for August Ljungberg 1445 +27
IFK Varnamo:Samuel olsson 1346 for August Ljungberg 1445 +27
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 24% · 27% · 49%(GIF Sundsvall · draw · IFK Varnamo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: GIF Sundsvall €183K, IFK Varnamo €298K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Superettan): GIF Sundsvall ranked #13 of 14, IFK Varnamo #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
GIF Sundsvall
16th in Superettan · 19 pts from 26
- 13 OctLIFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan1231
- 20 SepWLjungskile SK Sweden Superettan1233
- 15 SepLLandskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan1257
- 10 SepLOrebro SK Sweden Superettan1263
- 5 SepWIK brage Sweden Superettan1258
IFK Varnamo
12th in Superettan · 29 pts from 26
- 11 OctLFalkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan1517
- 19 SepWOddevold Sweden Superettan1509
- 15 SepLOsters IF Sweden Superettan1512
- 9 SepWUnited Nordic Sweden Superettan1462
- 5 SepDVarbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan1479
Season outlook
From the Superettan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIF Sundsvall | 19 /26 | 23.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
| IFK Varnamo | 29 /26 | 35.6 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
GIF Sundsvall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1298
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
GIF Sundsvall: low-volume (how Ion Doros Guler plays) · IFK Varnamo: balanced profile (how Kim Hilding Bergstrand plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.