La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe
GetafeTeam 1937Rayo VallecanoTeam 2031- Martin Satriano 56'
- Álvaro García 11'
We gave Getafe 38% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Kiko Femenia –1'Getafe:Kiko Femenia –
- 11'Álvaro García – assist Jorge De Frutos –Rayo Vallecano:Álvaro García – assist Jorge De Frutos –
- Dakonam Ortega Djené –16'Getafe:Dakonam Ortega Djené –
- Dakonam Ortega Djené –28'Getafe:Dakonam Ortega Djené –
- Abdel Abqar – for Ramón Terrats –32'Getafe:Abdel Abqar – for Ramón Terrats –
- Francho Serrano Gracia – for Kiko Femenia –45'Getafe:Francho Serrano Gracia – for Kiko Femenia –
- Andrés García – for Mario Martín Rielves –45'Getafe:Andrés García – for Mario Martín Rielves –
- 45+1'Ivan Balliu –Rayo Vallecano:Ivan Balliu –
- Francho Serrano Gracia –51'Getafe:Francho Serrano Gracia –
- Martin Satriano – assist Francho Serrano Gracia –56'Getafe:Martin Satriano – assist Francho Serrano Gracia –
- 59'Óscar Valentín – for Isi Palazón –Rayo Vallecano:Óscar Valentín – for Isi Palazón –
- 59'Pedro Díaz – for Ivan Balliu –Rayo Vallecano:Pedro Díaz – for Ivan Balliu –
- 65'Georgiy Tsitaishvili – for Jorge De Frutos –Rayo Vallecano:Georgiy Tsitaishvili – for Jorge De Frutos –
- 69'Pathé Ciss –Rayo Vallecano:Pathé Ciss –
- Daniel Carvajal79'Getafe:Daniel Carvajal
- 80'Alexandre Zurawski – for Álvaro García –Rayo Vallecano:Alexandre Zurawski – for Álvaro García –
- Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf – for Daniel Carvajal80'Getafe:Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf – for Daniel Carvajal
- 80'Francisco Pérez Martínez – for Unai López –Rayo Vallecano:Francisco Pérez Martínez – for Unai López –
- Enes Ünal –84'Getafe:Enes Ünal –
- Borja Mayoral – for Enes Ünal –87'Getafe:Borja Mayoral – for Enes Ünal –
- Nemanja Gudelj –87'Getafe:Nemanja Gudelj –
- 90+3'Sergio Camello –Rayo Vallecano:Sergio Camello –
Before kick-off (provisional): 38% · 29% · 33%(Getafe · draw · Rayo Vallecano)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Getafe €3.2M, Rayo Vallecano €3.9M.
- Getafe were without 1 expected starter: Z. Romero (2022).
- Rayo Vallecano were without 1 expected starter: A. Rațiu (2157).
- Home advantage made Getafe the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- All 11 of Rayo Vallecano's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Getafe
15th in La Liga · 8 pts from 8
- 15 OctDUniversitatea Craiova UEFA Conference League1885
- 10 OctLBarcelona La Liga1932
- 20 SepWMalaga La Liga1940
- 17 SepLReal Betis La Liga1922
- 13 SepDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1964
Rayo Vallecano
14th in La Liga · 8 pts from 7
- 19 SepDOsasuna La Liga2083
- 15 SepWEspanyol La Liga2010
- 12 SepLReal Madrid La Liga1978
- 5 SepWRacing Santander La Liga2050
- 31 AugLBarcelona La Liga2007
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 8 /8 | 38.9 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 16th |
| Rayo Vallecano | 8 /7 | 45.7 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Getafe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 2021
Rayo Vallecano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2090
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Getafe: direct · aggressive (how José Bordalás Jiménez plays) · Rayo Vallecano: balanced profile (how Beñat San José Gil plays)