La Liga · Regular Season - 13
Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Coliseum, Getafe
Getafe host Atletico Madrid on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Getafe 17%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid 60%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Getafe €3.6M, Atletico Madrid €31.3M.
- Style contrast in attacking (La Liga): Getafe rank #18 of 20, Atletico Madrid #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Getafe goals first.
- 0–112%
- 0–211%
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–07%
- 0–37%
- Other scores42%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com0–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.5 pts
Team Elo: Getafe 1971 · Atletico Madrid 2390
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Getafe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1960
Atletico Madrid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2446
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Getafe
15th in La Liga · 12 pts from 12
- 8 NovLVillarreal La Liga1999
- 5 NovLBrighton UEFA Conference League1964
- 1 NovWSevilla La Liga1920
- 25 OctLAthletic Club La Liga1924
- 22 OctLFC Lugano UEFA Conference League1837
Atletico Madrid
3rd in La Liga · 28 pts from 12
- 8 NovLBarcelona La Liga2400
- 3 NovLBayern München UEFA Champions League2423
- 31 OctWLevante La Liga2423
- 24 OctWDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2407
- 20 OctDVfB Stuttgart UEFA Champions League2408
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 12 /12 | 40.2 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 16th |
| Atletico Madrid | 28 /12 | 81.2 | 1% | 98% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Getafe: direct (how José Bordalás plays) · Atletico Madrid: possession-based (how D. Simeone plays)