Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Gent vs Kortrijk
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Gent
Gent host Kortrijk on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gent 65%, draw 21%, Kortrijk 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gent €3.3M, Kortrijk €920K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Pro League matchday 11: 294 points.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Pro League): Gent rank #15 of 18, Kortrijk #3.
- Gent's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gent goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.7 pts
Team Elo: Gent 1987 · Kortrijk 1693
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gent · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2148
Kortrijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1756
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gent
1st in Pro League · 22 pts from 8
- 22 OctLSC Braga UEFA Conference League2021
- 15 OctWAarhus UEFA Conference League2052
- 10 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1994
- 18 SepWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League2003
- 13 SepDGenk Belgium Pro League1981
Kortrijk
17th in Pro League · 3 pts from 8
- 10 OctLGenk Belgium Pro League1653
- 20 SepWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1629
- 13 SepLRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1646
- 6 SepLZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1649
- 3 SepLAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1640
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 22 /8 | 67.7 | 7% | 91% | 0% | 3rd |
| Kortrijk | 3 /8 | 31.4 | 0% | 0% | 57% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gent: balanced profile (how R. Demil plays) · Kortrijk: direct (how Daniel Beichler plays)