Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Gent vs Anderlecht
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Gent
Gent host Anderlecht on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gent 43%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gent €2.9M, Anderlecht €3.2M.
- Gent's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.9 over 180 days.
- Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gent goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Gent 1993 · Anderlecht 1952
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gent · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2154
Anderlecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 (Good) · Elo 2020
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gent
1st in Pro League · 22 pts from 8
- 15 OctWAarhus UEFA Conference League2052
- 10 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1994
- 18 SepWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League2003
- 13 SepDGenk Belgium Pro League1981
- 6 SepWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1980
Anderlecht
5th in Pro League · 16 pts from 8
- 15 OctLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1930
- 10 OctWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1959
- 19 SepWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1979
- 16 SepLLyon UEFA Europa League1964
- 11 SepWKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1950
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 22 /8 | 68.2 | 9% | 93% | 0% | 3rd |
| Anderlecht | 16 /8 | 59.1 | 1% | 52% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gent: balanced profile (how Rik De Mil plays) · Anderlecht: balanced profile (how Vítor Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes plays)