Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Genk vs RAAL La Louvière
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Cegeka Arena, Genk
Genk host RAAL La Louvière on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Genk 65%, draw 21%, RAAL La Louvière 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Genk €3.2M, RAAL La Louvière €701K.
- Style contrast in possession (Pro League): Genk rank #3 of 18, RAAL La Louvière #18.
- Genk's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Genk goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.7 pts
Team Elo: Genk 1906 · RAAL La Louvière 1619
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Genk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1996
RAAL La Louvière · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1635
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Genk
7th in Pro League · 15 pts from 11
- 8 NovLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1933
- 31 OctLKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1936
- 25 OctWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1947
- 10 OctWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1933
- 20 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1908
RAAL La Louvière
17th in Pro League · 7 pts from 11
- 7 NovLCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1615
- 1 NovLCharleroi Belgium Pro League1655
- 24 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1614
- 10 OctLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1586
- 19 SepLOH Leuven Belgium Pro League1589
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 15 /11 | 52.3 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6th |
| RAAL La Louvière | 7 /11 | 27.7 | 0% | 0% | 83% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Genk: possession-based (how J. Thorup plays) · RAAL La Louvière: direct (how Edward Still plays)